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Disneyland Crowd Calendar

by Fred Hazelton January 29, 2014


Disneyland Crowds

Disneyland crowds are hard to predict even for seasoned veterans. Our Disneyland Crowd Calendar is extensively researched by professional statisticians to help you answer "When to go to Disneyland?" This calendar ranks crowds in Disneyland for the next 365 days to help you have the best trip possible. You should use it to:

  1. Compare two sets of travel dates to see which has the lower crowds.
  2. See how long the lines will be for your travel dates.
  3. Decide which Disneyland Touring Plan (if any) to use.
How we did yesterday - Wednesday, August 27, 2014
At Disneyland we predicted a crowd level of 3. The actual crowd level was a 2
   At Disney California Adventure we predicted a crowd level of 3. The actual crowd level was a 2
Our wait times predictions were within 3 minutes for the following attractions: Toy Story Midway Mania! (-3 min), Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters (-3 min), The Twilight Zone Tower of Terror (-3 min), Peter Pan's Flight (-3 min), Mater's Junkyard Jamboree (-2 min), Mickey's House (+2 min), it's a small world (+2 min), Alice in Wonderland (+3 min)
We were within 5 minutes: Jungle Cruise (-5 min), Mr. Toad's Wild Ride (-4 min), Gadget's Go Coaster (-4 min), Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (-4 min), Dumbo the Flying Elephant (-4 min), Grizzly River Run (-4 min), Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin (-4 min), Monsters, Inc. Mike & Sulley to the Rescue! (-4 min), Mickey's Fun Wheel - Swinging (-4 min), Pirates of the Caribbean (+4 min)
We were within 7 minutes: Astro Orbitor (-7 min), Indiana Jones Adventure (-6 min), Autopia (-6 min), Matterhorn Bobsleds (-6 min), Space Mountain (-6 min)
We were within 10 minutes: Splash Mountain (-10 min), California Screamin' (-10 min), Star Tours: The Adventures Continue (-9 min), Soarin' Over California (-9 min)
* The attractions above come from our core group of 25 attractions used in calculating crowd levels. Wait times predictions are the average posted time between 10am and 5pm
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The Crowd Calendar
Date Resort Disneyland DCA AP Blockouts Notes
The next 30 days are available to subscribers!
Sat, September 27, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4 SL SC
Sun, September 28, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4 SL
Mon, September 29, 2014 3 out of 10 3 2
Tue, September 30, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3 Mickey's Halloween Party
Wed, October 1, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Thu, October 2, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Fri, October 3, 2014 4 out of 10 4 3 Mickey's Halloween Party
Sat, October 4, 2014 6 out of 10 6 5 SL SC
Sun, October 5, 2014 6 out of 10 6 6 SL
Mon, October 6, 2014 6 out of 10 6 6 Mickey's Halloween Party
Tue, October 7, 2014 5 out of 10 5 5
Wed, October 8, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4 Mickey's Halloween Party
Thu, October 9, 2014 5 out of 10 5 5
Fri, October 10, 2014 6 out of 10 6 5 Mickey's Halloween Party
Sat, October 11, 2014 8 out of 10 8 7 SL SC
Sun, October 12, 2014 7 out of 10 7 7 SL CHOC Children's Walk
Mon, October 13, 2014 6 out of 10 6 6 Columbus Day
Tue, October 14, 2014 5 out of 10 4 5 Mickey's Halloween Party
Wed, October 15, 2014 5 out of 10 4 5
Thu, October 16, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4
Fri, October 17, 2014 5 out of 10 5 5 Mickey's Halloween Party
Sat, October 18, 2014 7 out of 10 7 6 SL SC
Sun, October 19, 2014 6 out of 10 6 6 SL
Mon, October 20, 2014 5 out of 10 5 5 Mickey's Halloween Party
Tue, October 21, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Wed, October 22, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3 Mickey's Halloween Party
Thu, October 23, 2014 3 out of 10 3 2
Fri, October 24, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4 Mickey's Halloween Party
Sat, October 25, 2014 6 out of 10 7 5 SL SC
Sun, October 26, 2014 6 out of 10 6 5 SL
Mon, October 27, 2014 4 out of 10 4 3 Mickey's Halloween Party
Annual Pass Blockouts: SL=SoCal Select; SC=SoCal; DX=Deluxe; *=projected event date
Crowd Levels: Relative Scale, with 1 being least crowded, 10 the most crowded

The Crowd Calendar Is Based On Wait Times

Our Unofficial Guide researchers have collected wait times in Disneyland Resort for over three years. With this dataset, Fred Hazelton, our professional statistician, updates this calendar every week.

How We Rank Crowds

There are three Crowd Levels listed above, each is based on a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being the least crowded conditions and 10 being most crowded. The Resort Crowd Level scale represents the combined wait times at all the standby lines in both Disneyland and Disney California Adventure. The Disneyland and DCA Crowd Levels just predict the relative crowd level for attractions in those parks, respectively.

The Crowd Levels are on a relative scale--an '8' is more crowded than '7' which is more crowded than '6'. The crowd level tells you how each day compares to all other days we have on record. Read more on Crowd Levels.

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