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Disneyland Crowd Calendar

by Fred Hazelton January 29, 2014


Disneyland Crowds

Disneyland crowds are hard to predict even for seasoned veterans. Our Disneyland Crowd Calendar is extensively researched by professional statisticians to help you answer "When to go to Disneyland?" This calendar ranks crowds in Disneyland for the next 365 days to help you have the best trip possible. You should use it to:

  1. Compare two sets of travel dates to see which has the lower crowds.
  2. See how long the lines will be for your travel dates.
  3. Decide which Disneyland Touring Plan (if any) to use.
How we did yesterday - Monday, September 29, 2014
At Disneyland we predicted a crowd level of 3. The actual crowd level was a 4
   At Disney California Adventure we predicted a crowd level of 2. The actual crowd level was a 3
Our wait times predictions were within 3 minutes for the following attractions: Gadget's Go Coaster (-3 min), Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters (-2 min), Mickey's Fun Wheel - Swinging (-1 min), California Screamin' (-1 min), Autopia (0 min), Jungle Cruise (0 min), Astro Orbitor (+1 min), it's a small world (+1 min), Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin (+2 min), Monsters, Inc. Mike & Sulley to the Rescue! (+3 min)
We were within 5 minutes: Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (+4 min), Dumbo the Flying Elephant (+4 min), Matterhorn Bobsleds (+4 min), Mr. Toad's Wild Ride (+4 min), Star Tours: The Adventures Continue (+4 min), Soarin' Over California (+4 min), Peter Pan's Flight (+4 min), Splash Mountain (+5 min), Mater's Junkyard Jamboree (+5 min)
We were within 7 minutes: Grizzly River Run (-6 min), Mickey's House (-6 min), Indiana Jones Adventure (+6 min), Pirates of the Caribbean (+7 min)
We were within 10 minutes: Muppet*Vision 3D (-10 min), Space Mountain (+8 min), Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage (+9 min), Toy Story Midway Mania! (+9 min)
* The attractions above come from our core group of 25 attractions used in calculating crowd levels. Wait times predictions are the average posted time between 10am and 5pm
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The Crowd Calendar
Date Resort Disneyland DCA AP Blockouts Notes
The next 30 days are available to subscribers!
Thu, October 30, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Fri, October 31, 2014 3 out of 10 3 2 Mickey's Halloween Party
Sat, November 1, 2014 5 out of 10 5 4 SL SC
Sun, November 2, 2014 7 out of 10 7 7 SL
Mon, November 3, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4
Tue, November 4, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4
Wed, November 5, 2014 2 out of 10 2 2
Thu, November 6, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Fri, November 7, 2014 4 out of 10 4 4
Sat, November 8, 2014 5 out of 10 5 4 SL SC
Sun, November 9, 2014 8 out of 10 8 8 SL SC
Mon, November 10, 2014 5 out of 10 5 5 SL
Tue, November 11, 2014 4 out of 10 3 4 SL Veteran's Day
Wed, November 12, 2014 2 out of 10 2 2
Thu, November 13, 2014 3 out of 10 3 2
Fri, November 14, 2014 4 out of 10 4 3 Avengers Half Marathon Weekend
Sat, November 15, 2014 4 out of 10 5 3 SL SC Avengers Half Marathon Weekend
Sun, November 16, 2014 5 out of 10 5 5 SL Avengers Half Marathon Weekend
Mon, November 17, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Tue, November 18, 2014 3 out of 10 3 3
Wed, November 19, 2014 2 out of 10 2 2
Thu, November 20, 2014 2 out of 10 2 2
Fri, November 21, 2014 4 out of 10 4 3
Sat, November 22, 2014 4 out of 10 5 3 SL SC
Sun, November 23, 2014 8 out of 10 7 8 SL
Mon, November 24, 2014 9 out of 10 9 9
Tue, November 25, 2014 9 out of 10 9 9
Wed, November 26, 2014 8 out of 10 8 8
Thu, November 27, 2014 6 out of 10 6 5 SL SC DX Thanksgiving
Fri, November 28, 2014 7 out of 10 7 7 SL SC DX
Sat, November 29, 2014 7 out of 10 7 6 SL SC DX
Annual Pass Blockouts: SL=SoCal Select; SC=SoCal; DX=Deluxe; *=projected event date
Crowd Levels: Relative Scale, with 1 being least crowded, 10 the most crowded

The Crowd Calendar Is Based On Wait Times

Our Unofficial Guide researchers have collected wait times in Disneyland Resort for over three years. With this dataset, Fred Hazelton, our professional statistician, updates this calendar every week.

How We Rank Crowds

There are three Crowd Levels listed above, each is based on a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being the least crowded conditions and 10 being most crowded. The Resort Crowd Level scale represents the combined wait times at all the standby lines in both Disneyland and Disney California Adventure. The Disneyland and DCA Crowd Levels just predict the relative crowd level for attractions in those parks, respectively.

The Crowd Levels are on a relative scale--an '8' is more crowded than '7' which is more crowded than '6'. The crowd level tells you how each day compares to all other days we have on record. Read more on Crowd Levels.

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