Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – January 4 to 10, 2015

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Usually, the extremely high wait times we see between Christmas and New Years Day fade slowly once we reach the middle of the next week after the holiday. This year it appears the vast majority of guests left the resort by Sunday, January 4. You can see how our estimates for Sunday and Monday ended up clearly too high, compared to what we observed in the parks, especially at Disney Hollywood Studios.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, January 4, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
5

Considering that 38% of school districts did not return to session until January 6 or later the wait times on Sunday were remarkably low, even with the cooler weather. We typically consider the Sunday after New Years Day to be a continuation of the Christmas Holiday  – perhaps that will change.

Epcot
7
4
Hollywood Studios
8
3
Animal Kingdom
7
4

Monday, January 5, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
6

Monday’s crowd was actually slightly higher than Sunday’s but still substantially lower than history would suggest. We saw wait times like 50 minutes at Big Thunder Mountain and 37 at Pirates of the Caribbean.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
8
5
Animal Kingdom
5
3

Tuesday, January 6, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
5

Tuesday was the first day that our models predicted wait times would return to off-season levels, two days late as it turned out. Wait times still lagged at The Studios though, with average posted waits like 17 minutes at Star Tours (predicted 31) and 12 minutes at Great Movie Ride (predicted 20).

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
3
4

Wednesday, January 7, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
3

Wednesday’s wait times were the lowest across all four parks since December 23. Space Mountain averaged 40 minutes (predicted 46), Test Track 54 (56), Toy Story Mania 80 (70) and Expedition Everest 35 minutes (predicted 26).

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
3
4

Thursday, January 8, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

More low wait times on Thursday, partially due to the cold weather across Central Florida. For the second day in a row, no park managed a crowd level above ‘4’.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
3
3

Friday, January 9, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
3

Again, no park reached a level higher than ‘4’ on Friday and the ‘2’ at Animal Kingdom was the lowest level we have seen at any park since mid-December.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
4
4
Animal Kingdom
3
2

Saturday, January 10, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

The Walt Disney World Marathon brings in thousands of runners and their families to the resort in early January but as you can see, the wait times remain relatively low across all four parks.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
5
4
What to Expect This Week
January 11 to 17, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Mid January brings some of the slowest crowds of the year but it also brings the coolest weather. Add a few layers and enjoy some of the shortest lines of the year.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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