Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – January 11 to 17, 2015

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Last week at Walt Disney World we saw the lightest crowds we’ve seen since September, especially in the first half of the week. The light crowds were short-lived however with several ‘7’s and ‘8’s on Friday and Saturday even though we saw the rare case on Wednesday where all parks were a level ‘1’ on our scale.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, January 11, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
1

Sunday, the final day of Marathon weekend brought very light crowds across the resort. Big Thunder Mountain railroad averaged 26 minutes (predicted 36) while Toy Story Midway Mania averaged 48 minutes (predicted 49).

Epcot
3
1
Hollywood Studios
3
1
Animal Kingdom
3
2

Monday, January 12, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
1

Magic Kingdom stayed at the lowest level on our scale again on Monday, as was Animal Kingdom. Hollywood Studios hit a level ‘3’ which is still very manageable with waits like 36 minutes at Tower of Terror and 66 at Toy Story Midway Mania.

Epcot
4
2
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
3
1

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
2

Tuesday’s crowds were similarly quiet at all parks. Epcot’s longest average wait was 49 minutes at Test Track (predicted 51).

Epcot
3
2
Hollywood Studios
3
1
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
1

Wow! Our models predicted the same crowd level at all four parks Wednesday but it was two levels too high in all cases. Even during the slowest times of the year it is rare to see all four parks at the lowest level on our scale.

Epcot
3
1
Hollywood Studios
3
1
Animal Kingdom
3
1

Thursday, January 15, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
2

Animal Kingdom’s crowd level on Thursday was ‘1’ for the fourth day in a row. That translates to average posted waits like 18 minutes for Expedition Everest (predicted 23) and 16 at Kilimanjaro Safaris (predicted 17).

Epcot
3
2
Hollywood Studios
4
1
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Friday, January 16, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
8

Friday’s crowd level ‘8’ at Magic Kingdom represents one of the fastest influx of guests to a park we will likely see all year. Magic Kingdom was less than a ‘3’ all week until Friday’s ‘8’ came along. Other parks were still relatively quiet.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
4
2

Saturday, January 17, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
7

Saturday’s crowds were much higher as well compared to the rest of the week but the crowds were spread much more evenly across the four parks. Friday and Saturday crowd numbers indicate the rush of guests taking advantage on Monday’s Holiday a few days before the holiday itself.

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
6
7
What to Expect This Week
January 18 to 24, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

The influx of guests to Disney World during Martin Luther King Junior Day will fade as the week progresses towards Thursday and Friday. After that, we expect fairly quiet crowds until the second week of February.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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