Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – February 8 to 14, 2015

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Crowds at Walt Disney World started off much lower than our crowd calendar predicted in the first part of the week but then we quickly saw an increase in-line with the predicted arrival of guests for Presidents Day weekend. The peak in attendance on Friday and Saturday is not due to a surge of guests arriving to celebrate Valentines Day but rather due to the combination of Presidents Day and Mardi Gras occurring the following week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, February 8, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
2

All parks showed wait times much lower than predicted by the crowd calendar although it correctly predicted that Animal Kingdom would be very crowded. It is rare to see Magic Kingdom at a level ‘2’ and Animal Kingdom at a level ‘8’ but that was the case on Sunday.

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
6
3
Animal Kingdom
9
8

Monday, February 9, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
1

Monday saw wait times so low that it fell into the slowest three days of 2015 so far. Splash Mountain averaged 14 minutes and Pirates of the Caribbean 23.

Epcot
3
2
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
5
2

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
5

Magic Kingdom wait times spiked much higher on Tuesday, and more in-line with what the calendar predicted. We saw averages of 34 minutes at Pirate of the Caribbean and 48 at Big Thunder Mountain railroad.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
2
2
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
2

Level ‘2’s across the board on Wednesday, thanks to average wait times like 36 minutes at Jungle Cruise (predicted 22), 57 at Soarin’ (52), 58 at Toy Story Midway Mania (55) and 20 minutes at Dinosaur (predicted 19).

Epcot
3
2
Hollywood Studios
3
2
Animal Kingdom
3
2

Thursday, February 12, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Extra Magic Hour morning at Magic Kingdom on Thursday pushed wait times up several minutes higher than Wednesday. Jungle Cruise averaged 47 minutes (predicted 39).

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
4
2
Animal Kingdom
3
2

Friday, February 13, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Our calendar predicted that Friday would be the first day that we see an increase in wait times due to the February holiday period. It proved accurate with average wait times like 82 minutes at Soarin’ and 84 at Toy Story Midway Mania.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Saturday, February 14, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
9

Saturday was very busy at all four parks. As busy as we’ve seen since New Year’s Eve. Three out of the four parks hit a level ‘9’ on our scale. Presidents Day crowds have arrived!

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
9
7
Animal Kingdom
9
9
What to Expect This Week
February 15 to 22, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Last week we saw the beginning of the February holiday rush. We expect the holiday rush to continue most of this week then taper off as the weekend approaches.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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