Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – February 15 to 20, 2015

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Presidents Day, Mardi Gras and the Princess Half Marathon all in the same week meant for some interesting crowds last week. A rainy Tuesday kept crowds lighter than expected but then as the clouds broke away Wednesday the crowds returned. Other than that, our calendar correctly predicted the flow of crowds throughout the week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, February 15, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
9

Three of the parks hit the maximum on our scale Sunday. Not a surprise given that Presidents Day and Mardi Gras occurred in the same week this year. Only Magic Kingdom had a crowd level less than ’10’ but wait times were still extreme with averages like 87 minutes at Peter Pan’s Flight (predicted 69).

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
9
10
Animal Kingdom
10
10

Monday, February 16, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
8

More high crowd levels on Presidents Day Monday including another level ’10’ at The Studios. Extra Magic Hours at The Studios pushed wait time averages there to the highest levels on our scale, like 105 minutes for Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster (predicted 86).

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
9
10
Animal Kingdom
8
9

Tuesday, February 17, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
6

Poor weather kept wait times surprisingly low on Tuesday including a ‘6’ at Magic Kingdom. The Studios, which has most of its attractions indoors, was still very busy.

Epcot
6
8
Hollywood Studios
9
9
Animal Kingdom
7
5

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
9

As is often the case when rain washes away a day, the next day is more crowded than expected as guests alter their plans to make for lost time. We saw this on Wednesday with a pair of ‘9’s at Magic Kingdom and Epcot.

Epcot
5
9
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
7
8

Thursday, February 19, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

Wait times settled back in line with predicted levels on Thursday including averages like 37 minutes at Haunted Mansion (predicted 44). Animal Kingdom was the best park for crowds, with an average wait of 25 minutes at Dinosaur.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
5
3

Friday, February 20, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
7

The Princess Half Marathon Weekend began Thursday and continued Friday but left little impact on wait times at the parks. We saw ‘7’s at three parks. Only The Studios hit a level ‘8’ thanks to waits like 38 minutes at Star Tours (predicted 33).

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
5
7

Saturday, February 21, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

By Saturday, the Presidents Day rush had subsided and wait times turned to normal February levels.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
8
5
Animal Kingdom
6
5
What to Expect This Week
February 22 to 28, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Crowds will be moderate to above average for the next few weeks now that the major holidays of February have concluded. Watch out for Spring Break schedules to affect wait times in the coming weeks.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – February 15 to 20, 2015

  • February 25, 2015 at 12:41 pm
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    While our touring plans worked great last week, having rides down really throws the expected wait times off. For most of the day on the 19th, the Seven Dwarfs Mine Train was not operational. As we got to the park at opening to get in line for it, we were notified it was closed and it remained as such until around 6PM. Needless to say, we didn’t get the chance to ride it. With that being closed, there was then an increase in the expected wait times for other rides within and near the area like Peter Pan’s Flight (I really don’t get the loooooooong wait for a two and a half minute ride) and the Haunted Mansion (which was also closed early in the day), so we had to adjust our plan on the fly to knock a few things off and stay on schedule. Lines in Frontierland weren’t effected by any of this yet, so we rode Thunder and Splash Mountains with barely any wait time.

    I really amazes me how accurate the touring plans and personal plans are when evaluated/optimzed. Great work!

    Reply

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