Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – May 10 to 16, 2015

Share This!

Crowds at Walt Disney World last week were as predicted by the Crowd Calendar except for Tuesday and Wednesday when wait times lagged below expectations. It was a good week for crowds with most days having below average crowd levels. Only Saturday saw a crowd level above the midpoint on our scale.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, May 10, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
3

Only Animal Kingdom managed a crowd level above a ‘4’ on Monday making the crowd levels at or below average at all four parks. Animal Kingdom’s crowd level was helped by its hosting Extra Magic Hour morning. There we saw Kali River Rapids top the wait times with a 53-minute average (predicted 43).

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
4
2
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Monday, May 11, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
4

Monday’s crowd levels were also below average at all four parks, an indication that the May lull is upon us. Hollywood Studios hosted Extra Magic Hours in the evening but only Great Movie Ride had a wait time higher than expected (29 minutes, predicted 16).

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
2
3
Animal Kingdom
5
3

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
3

Tuesday brought the week’s first crowd level ‘1’, at Animal Kingdom. There guests enjoyed average waits like 13 minutes at Dinosaur, 15 minutes at Expedition Everest and 14 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
5
2
Animal Kingdom
3
1

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
2

The Calendar predicted wait times below average at all four parks on Wednesday and that ended up being true however the waits were even lower than expected. We saw average waits like 16 minutes at Pirates of the Caribbean, 14 at Spaceship Earth and Star Tours, and 16 minutes at Expedition Everest.

Epcot
4
3
Hollywood Studios
3
1
Animal Kingdom
3
2

Thursday, May 14, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

More below average waits at all four parks on Thursday, as expected. Only Epcot’s prediction was off thanks to crowd level ‘1’s and ‘2’s at every major attraction. That translates to a 15-minute average at Spaceship Earth and 57 minutes at Soarin’.

Epcot
4
2
Hollywood Studios
3
3
Animal Kingdom
4
4

Friday, May 15, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
4

Friday was the first day last week when we saw wait time averages creep up to the middle point of our scale. We saw Epcot reach a level ‘6’ with Soarin’ and Test Track at 70+ minutes.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
4
5
Animal Kingdom
4
5

Saturday, May 16, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Predictions did well again on Saturday with all parks within one level of predicted. Magic Kingdom saw its longest waits of the week with averages like 61 minutes at Peter Pan’s Flight and 59 minutes at Space Mountain.

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
7
8
What to Expect This Week
May 17 to 23, 2015
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Next week we expect more of the same with average wait times or below all week. This represents the last chance to take advantage of light crowds before the arrival of Memorial Day weekend.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *