Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – September 13 to 19, 2015

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How Crowded Was Disneyland Last Week?
How Crowded Was Disneyland Last Week?

So far, Disneyland crowd levels in September 2015 have been a mystery. We have seen some crowd levels much higher than we have seen during the same period in previous years and we have seen some that are in line with historical trends. Last week was more like the former than the latter. Since 2006, September has been the month with the lowest crowd levels at Disneyland Resort but this year things have changed and it is not yet clear why.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, September 13, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
4

Sunday’s crowd levels were near what the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted, missing by only one level at Disneyland Park. Average wait times were a little higher than expected at Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage (21 minutes, predicted 18) and Peter Pan’s Flight (39 minutes, predicted 29).

Disney California Adventure
4
4

Monday, September 14, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
6

Since 2006, we have not seen a Monday in September have a crowd level above ‘5’ on our scale except for Labor Day. So last Monday’s crowd level ‘6’ at Disneyland Park was particularly surprising.

Disney California Adventure
2
4

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
5

The crowds at Disney California Adventure were as predicted by the Disneyland Crowd Calendar on Tuesday but Disneyland wait times were up thanks to averages like 17 minutes at Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (predicted 12).

Disney California Adventure
2
2

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
4

Both parks hit crowd levels higher than expected on Wednesday. At Disneyland it was Indiana Jones Adventure (27 minutes, predicted 14) and Matterhorn Bobsleds (38 minutes, predicted 13) that were the biggest contributors to the high crowd level.

Disney California Adventure
2
5

Thursday, September 17, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
5

Crowd levels like we saw last Thursday are typical of an October day, not mid-September. It may be that with the late Labor Day and the early school start date for some school districts we are seeing those October crowds arrive a little earlierĀ than normal. Regardless, using a touring plan will be important for the rest of September, just in case.

Disney California Adventure
2
4

Friday, September 18, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
6

Friday brought the second crowd level ‘6’ of the week at Disneyland Park. Peter Pan’s Flight averaged 44 minutes – a crowd ’10’ for that attraction! Average wait times like that are normally reserved for holidays.

Disney California Adventure
3
5

Saturday, September 19, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
6

Saturday’s crowd levels were higher than other days last week but thankfully, the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted the increase on the weekend. Both parks edged one level higher than predicted.

Disney California Adventure
4
5
What to Expect This Week
September 20 to 26, 2015

We at touringplans.com have tracked many years of wait time data and have labelled the period between Labor Day and late September as the September lull. Annually, we have seen the parks reach crowd level at the bottom end of our scale. If the crowds last week are any indication, this week may be more crowded than expected. The crowds are still manageable however, especially with a proper touring plan.

To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

5 thoughts on “Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – September 13 to 19, 2015

  • September 22, 2015 at 7:07 am
    Permalink

    Maybe the Diamond Celebration is the cause of the increase of crowds this year, even in september?

    Reply
  • September 22, 2015 at 11:25 am
    Permalink

    I was there on Friday 9/18 and they had “Dapper Day” where everyone dressed up in stylish suits and dresses. This seemed to bring in a ton of locals and made the park much busier.

    Reply
    • September 22, 2015 at 4:32 pm
      Permalink

      I was at the parks Friday-Sunday and Friday morning was definitely a “3”. It got more and more crowded as the day progressed however with people coming for Dapper Day. At one point, we were trapped in a mass of people in front of Splash for 20 mins without moving. Crowd control on that side of the park was a nightmare since the line for Haunted Mansion (90 minutes) had overflowed and people had started to show up for the first showing of Fantasmic!

      Reply
  • September 22, 2015 at 1:02 pm
    Permalink

    It seems like it has been way off for a while now. Perhaps the predictions need to be adjusted!

    Reply
  • September 22, 2015 at 1:20 pm
    Permalink

    As one who has been using the book and app to plan for our trip this Thursday and Friday it has been disconcerting to see such deviation in the Disneyland Crowd Levels the past couple weeks / months. I am thankfully armed with plenty of info and we’ll adapt / prepare appropriately. It really seems like the park turns into a whole different beast with the locals descending down upon it after work. We’re planning on aiming for the big ticket rides in the AM, then wandering the unpopular rides from noon till close while fastpassing as we please. It’s our first visit so we feel disadvantaged regarding things like being in the wrong place at the wrong time, or properly navigating around a parade or show, or even simple stuff like knowing what’s the fastest way around the Matterhorn. We’ll feel it out, its all part of the experience

    Reply

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