Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – November 29 to December 5, 2015

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How did the Disney World Crowd Calendar do last week?
How did the Disney World Crowd Calendar do last week?

Last week the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted crowd levels to bounce up and down each day in a flattened “w” shape. As it turns out, that is exactly what we observed but the “w” wasn’t so flat. The resort wide numbers were within one crowd level of what we observed each day with the only exception being Friday when all four parks were one or two levels higher than predicted.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, November 29, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
6

Animal Kingdom wait times were within a few minutes of predicted averages while Epcot and Disney Hollywood Studios were a few minutes higher on average. That leaves Magic Kingdom as the only standout with average wait times like 37 minutes at Space Mountain (predicted 33) and 33 at Winnie the Pooh (predicted 23). Only Peter Pan’s Flight managed to reach an average wait above 50 minutes (58) so wait times were still quite manageable across the park.

Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4

Monday, November 30, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
9

Magic Kingdom’s late closing pushed wait times much higher on Monday, as expected. Peter Pan’s Flight averaged 78 minutes (predicted 71) and Jungle Cruise averaged 52. Meanwhile, wait times at Epcot and Hollywood Studios were middle-of-the-road and Animal Kingdom was near empty with averages like 21 minutes at Expedition Everest and 16 at DINOSAUR.

Epcot
3
5
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
3

Tuesday’s crowd (along with Thursday) ended up as the least crowded day of the week, last week. Animal Kingdom waits were low again and Magic Kingdom hosted Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party which means shortened hours for regular guests.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Wednesday, December 2, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
7

Only Magic Kingdom had a crowd above the midpoint of our scale on Wednesday. Epcot hit the midpoint but Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom were near empty once again. At Hollywood Studios we saw Toy Story Midway Mania hit an average of 74 minutes but Star Tours averaged only 16 and Great Movie Ride averaged 15.

Epcot
3
5
Hollywood Studios
5
2
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Thursday, December 3, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
2

All four parks had low wait times on Thursday. Even Epcot at a crowd level ‘5’ had reasonable averages like 12 minutes at Spaceship Earth and 63 minutes at Soarin’. Animal Kingdom had its highest crowd level since Sunday and The Studios continued its moderate waits.

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
5
2
Animal Kingdom
3
3

Friday, December 4, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
5

Friday was the only miss by the Disney World Crowd Calendar thanks to Epcot and Animal Kingdom. No wait times were extreme at any park however. Magic Kingdom wait times stayed relatively low most of the afternoon since that park hosted another Christmas Party.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
2
4

Saturday, December 5, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Saturday saw the only major underestimate by the Disney World Crowd Calendar last week. At Epcot, Soarin’ averaged 80 minutes (predicted 66), Test Track averaged 70 (predicted 50) while Spaceship Earth averaged 22 minutes, as predicted.

Epcot
5
8
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
4
6
What to Expect This Week
December 6 to 12, 2015

Last week may have been an indication that December crowds will be closer to historical averages than what we saw in October and November. If that is the case then we expect moderate crowds for the rest of the month until we hit the peak Christmas season starting on December 24.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – November 29 to December 5, 2015

  • December 9, 2015 at 3:13 pm
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    This is interesting. September through November has surprised us all, but if early December is chilling out somewhat I will be thrilled! Heading down in a few days 😀

    Reply

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