Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – December 13 to 20, 2015

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How Did The Disney World Crowd Calendar Do Last Week?
How Did The Disney World Crowd Calendar Do Last Week?

Crowds at Walt Disney World last week were within close range of what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted. If anything, crowds were slightly lower than expected, especially on Monday and Friday. Saturday was the busiest day of the week, as predicted.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, December 13, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

Wait times were comparable across all four parks on Monday with Hollywood Studios at the lowest crowd level of the four. There we saw the Great Movie Ride and Tower of Terror with average wait times much lower than expected. Last year, Tower of Terror was experiencing mechanical difficulties that greatly affected wait time so this year’s predictions are more sporadic.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
7
4
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Monday, December 14, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Monday’s wait times were as expected at Magic Kingdom for the second day in a row while Animal Kingdom was surprisingly slow. Pirates of the Caribbean averaged 39 minutes (a ’10’) while Kilimanjaro Safaris averaged 14 (a ‘1’).

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
5
1

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
4

Each prediction for Tuesday missed by one crowd level. At Magic Kingdom and Hollywood Studios it missed low while the other two parks were less crowded than predicted.

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
3
2

Wednesday, December 16, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Magic Kingdom jumped back to a level ‘8’ on Wednesday with average wait times like 52 minutes at the Christmas themed Jungle Cruise. Part of the boost at Magic Kingdom was from evening Extra Magic Hours.

Epcot
4
6
Hollywood Studios
5
5
Animal Kingdom
4
2

Thursday, December 17, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4
On Thursday, Magic Kingdom hosted Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party which kept wait times fairly low during the day. For example, The Haunted Mansion averaged only 19 minutes, a crowd level ‘2’ for that attraction. Each of the other three parks had crowd levels higher than what we saw at Magic Kingdom, but only slightly and within one index level of what we predicted.
Epcot
6
7
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
4
5

Friday, December 18, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Another Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party on Friday brought low Magic Kingdom wait times during the day. By contrast, Hollywood Studios hit a level ‘8’ thanks to average waits like 95 minutes at Toy Story Midway Mania (predicted 85) and 38 at Star Tours (26).

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
4
2

Saturday, December 19, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

Saturday’s crowds were the largest of the week by far with two of the parks hitting the top level on our scale. The Disney World Crowd Calendar correctly predicted the level ’10’ at Magic Kingdom but Hollywood Studios was a surprise thanks to The Great Movie Ride hitting an average of 37 minutes, the highest we see at that attraction in non-peak seasons.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
10
Animal Kingdom
7
9
What to Expect This Week
December 20 to 26, 2015

Christmas is coming and so are the Christmas crowds. This week will bring the last chance to experience the Disney parks at manageable levels before the holiday influx arrives.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

2 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – December 13 to 20, 2015

  • December 22, 2015 at 7:14 am
    Permalink

    Could the higher DHS crowds on Friday 12/18 be due to the fireworks premiering in that park that night?

  • December 22, 2015 at 4:42 pm
    Permalink

    This was our week! I found it to be very manageable with a plan. EPCOT felt quite light to me, but the area around the America pavilion was busy after Candlelight Processional (naturally).

    It rained in the morning on Friday, and Test Track was down for a time.

    At the end of our trip, we were at MK on Dec. 20, a crowd level 10. We had FPP for the noon parade and Holiday Wishes. It helped our experience a lot, having a bit more space from the crowds. Tried to use a FPP for Buzz, but the line wasn’t moving at all and we had an ADR to make.

    We did attractions that normally have minimal waits, and that helped a lot. I returned by myself at about 9:45 p.m. and did Mine Train with a rider swap FP that I received earlier in the week. Then BTMR with a 20 minute wait, and then Splash with no wait.

    Walkways were starting to clear, but it was still quite busy, I thought. Still a ton of fun!

    I continue to be impressed with Disney’s efficiency and their ability to handle a mega crowd.

    Oh, and the monorail was down for a time that evening. Bus and ferry transport only. We lucked out with a free upgrade to the Contemporary, and the walk there is just so, so good. Even to the Garden Wing, I think it’s faster than even getting to a bus stop at some of the more far-flung resorts.

    I’m not brave enough to handle the WDW crowds this week or next, woosh! But with a plan and with hitting early morning rope drops and returning for late night, it is really really doable.

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