Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – January 24 to 30

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How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?
How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?

Last week, crowds were in line with what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted. Cold rain washed out most of Wednesday and Thursday last week but otherwise, crowds were within a point or two of what we expected. Epcot continues to have crowd levels lower than historical levels while Animal Kingdom and Magic Kingdom seem slightly busier than usual.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, January 24, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
9

Animal Kingdom’s main attractions saw average wait times 35 minutes or higher on Sunday including a 59 minute average wait at Expedition Everest. Magic Kingdom saw average wait times much higher than would normally be expected when the park closes at 11 pm. Jungle Cruise averaged 50 minutes, higher than 95% of days at Magic Kingdom.

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
6
10

Monday, January 25, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
8

Animal Kingdom hosted morning Extra Magic Hour on Monday but wait times were significantly lower than what we saw one day earlier. Expedition Everest averaged 26 minutes, a level ‘3’ on our scale. At Hollywood Studios wait time averages hit both extremes on our scale. Toy Story Midway Mania averaged 103 minutes while Tower of Terror averaged only 35.

Epcot
5
4
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
8

Only Magic Kingdom had a crowd level above a ‘4’ on Tuesday. Jungle Cruise continued some unusual popularity with an average wait of 51 minutes (predicted 35). Also a surprise was The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh with an average wait of 39 minutes (predicted 32).

Epcot
6
4
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
5
3

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
1

Cold, wet weather made a day at the parks undesirable for most guests on Wednesday and Thursday so take the observed crowd levels for what they are. Pirates of the Caribbean averaged 9 minutes (predicted 25), the lowest average we have seen at that attraction since September, 2015.

Epcot
2
2
Hollywood Studios
6
1
Animal Kingdom
3
1

Thursday, January 28, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
3

More light crowds due to weather on Thursday although wait times were slightly higher than what we saw on Wednesday. Pirates of the Caribbean averaged 15 minutes (predicted 22). Animal Kingdom is often the park most affected by poor weather and that seems to be the case last week.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
5
2
Animal Kingdom
4
1

Friday, January 29, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
9

Magic Kingdom was the busiest park on Friday, as predicted. Although, Animal Kingdom reached a level ‘9’ as well. Epcot was the least crowded park, a trend that seems like it will continue as long as Soarin’ remains closed for refurbishment.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
5
9

Saturday, January 30, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Saturday was the busiest day resort-wide, other than the previous Sunday. Kilimanjaro Safaris averaged 67 minutes, Toy Story Midway Mania averaged 88, Peter Pan’s Flight 64 while Spaceship Earth averaged only 17 minutes.

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
9
What to Expect This Week
January 31 to February 6, 2016

February crowds are typically determined by when Presidents Day and Mardi Gras fall. This year, they do not fall within the same week so we expect crowds to be more spread out throughout the month.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

9 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – January 24 to 30

  • February 5, 2016 at 8:19 am
    Permalink

    We started our park experiences on Wednesday, and while it was definitely wet, it was not a wash out and wasn’t totally miserable. Magic Kingdom was awesome that day, we didn’t seem to have to wait for anything (except our table in Be Our Guest!)

    Thursday in Epcot was also quiet, but unlike Wednesday, was just miserable. More steady and heavier rain, and we were soaked in spite of our ponchos! Crowds didn’t seem as thin, perhaps because people were condensed into the indoor attractions.

    Reply
    • February 5, 2016 at 11:16 am
      Permalink

      We had nearly the same experience. Steady rain had been predicted for Wednesday, but when we got up it wasn’t raining at all. We went ahead with our MK plans, and I think it only rained lightly for about 45 minutes in the afternoon. It wasn’t cold (at least not by New England standards), and the lines were short to non-existent for most attractions, so we had a great day there. Thursday at Epcot was more drizzly, although we didn’t experience any heavy rain until the evening, when we went to Disney Springs. We had originally planned on Animal Kingdom for Thursday, but that’s a park best experienced on a sunny day, so we put it off til Friday. So did everyone else, apparently. We arrived around 9:10, and the bag lines were incredibly long. Every station was in use, and the lines stretched back to the little gift shops on the edge of the parking lot, and they moved at a snail’s pace. I think it took us nearly 30 minutes to get to the turnstiles, which weren’t as bad. THe crowds were heavier than we’re used to at AK, and, because it is more enclosed and has less open space, it felt quite congested. But we were still able to do what we wanted to do, with FP+ and good planning. The weather will definitely throw off the best crowd calendar predictions, and it helps to be prepared for that.

      Reply
  • February 5, 2016 at 11:07 am
    Permalink

    The week seemed very crowded to us despite the rain (except for Epcot). Animal Kingdom on the rainiest day (Thursday) felt packed with tour groups and both showings of FOTLK and Nemo were jam packed – every seat was taken all the way to the very back! Everytime we went to the MK it was pretty congested too – what happened to light crowds at the end of January?! Thank goodness for FP or we would have never gotten on anything at the MK!

    Reply
    • February 5, 2016 at 4:04 pm
      Permalink

      Agreed. End of January seems to get more crowded every year, at least since we started several years ago. Used to get 2-4s, now 5-6s. It is still doable, but we’re up earlier and out of the parks, back to the resort, right after lunch. We might adjust to the next week and see how that fares.

      I think TP was pretty accurate for that week, although no clue why the MK seemed packed every day. Wed wasn’t bad and we went to the MK on Thur morning which was ok, but then it poured in the afternoon so headed back to read. After dinner, however, it was a lovely evening. A great week, and I thank TP for your work!

      Reply
  • February 5, 2016 at 4:35 pm
    Permalink

    I was already a rope-drop believer, but this trip solidified my faith in the “get there early” rule. MK was absolutely dead at 8AM opening on Saturday: 5 min standby at 7DMT and literally walked on to Space Mountain. By 11:00, it was packed, lines were long, and my students and I were more than ready for our planned trip to Disney Springs. So worth setting the alarm!

    Reply
  • February 6, 2016 at 11:12 am
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    We’ve gone Jan into Feb in 2005, 2006, and last year in 2015 (which was the first time it was relatively crowded).
    Was curious to see this year’s crowds. Looks like it was busy again, minus the bad weather days.
    We’re trying out April 7th-13th this year. Crowd levels don’t seem greater, refurb season will be over, and park hours are much longer. Also during Flower & Garden Festival & weather under 90 degrees make me think this will become our new coveted WDW time. Just have to watch out for Easter in future years.

    Thank you Fred for consistent Crowd Reports 😀 They are very handy!

    Reply
    • February 6, 2016 at 11:45 am
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      Jungle Cruise averaged 50 minutes, higher than 95% of days at Magic Kingdom. (from Sunday 1/24)
      ^Wonder if the New table service Jungle Nav. Co. Ltd. Skipper Canteen has renewed interest in it’s neighboring Jungle Cruise?

      Reply
      • February 8, 2016 at 1:32 pm
        Permalink

        I don’t know about the Jungle Cruise/Skipper Canteen correlation… On Jan 29 with CL9 at MK at noon we waited approximately 30 seconds for a table at the restaurant. Seems like the cat is still not out of the bag on this one.
        The fact that the wait averaged 50 minutes, higher than 95% of days at MK is consistent with the CL9 prediction.

  • February 8, 2016 at 10:03 am
    Permalink

    Since Epcot seems to have less visitors with Soarin closed are those visitors heading to MK for an extra day, accounting for the uptick there do you think?

    Reply

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