Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – February 28 to March 5, 2016

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How Crowded Was Walt Disney World Resort Last Week?
How Crowded Was Walt Disney World Resort Last Week?

Resort-wide crowds at Walt Disney World were pretty close to what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted last week. We saw no days hit a resort wide level above a ‘7’ on our crowd scale. At the park level Animal Kingdom jumped around like a kangaroo hitting levels between a ‘2’ and a ’10’ on our scale depending on the day. Magic Kingdom was the busiest park of the week although it did drop to a level ‘4’ on Wednesday.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, February 28, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
7

Animal Kingdom wait times were the big surprise on Sunday with averages like 40 minutes at DINOSAUR (predicted 24) and 76 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris (predicted 33). Primeval Whirl had the lowest average wait at 23 minutes. Meanwhile, Epcot was six points lower on our scale with average waits like 63 minutes at Test Track and 16 minutes at Spaceship Earth. Living with the Land was essentially a walk-on all day with an average wait of 4 minutes.

Epcot
3
4
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
10

Monday, February 29, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
8

Monday’s predictions were too high at Magic Kingdom and Hollywood Studios but too low at Animal Kingdom. We saw average wait times like 63 minutes at Peter Pan’s Flight (predicted 69), 37 at Test Track (39), 74 at Toy Story Midway Mania (70) and 27 minutes at Expedition Everest (predicted 31).

Epcot
2
3
Hollywood Studios
4
6
Animal Kingdom
7
5

Tuesday, March 1, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

On Tuesday, the Disney World Crowd Calendar prediction for Hollywood Studios was the only one that missed by more than one index level. There we saw average wait times like 28 minutes at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster and 19 at Star Tours. Wait times at the other three parks were within a few minutes of what we predicted with only a few exceptions.

Epcot
5
4
Hollywood Studios
5
3
Animal Kingdom
4
3

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
4

Wednesday brought the lowest crowds of the week, by far. No park reached a crowd level above a ‘4’ and Epcot was the only park where we underpredicted, but only by one level. Expedition Everest averaged only a 17 minute wait, the lowest of all the super headliners.

Epcot
3
4
Hollywood Studios
4
2
Animal Kingdom
4
2

Thursday, March 3, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
6

Magic Kingdom was the busiest park on Thursday, as predicted. Peter Pan’s Flight was the longest average wait at 58 minutes (predicted 55). Space Mountain averaged 41 minutes and Splash Mountain averaged 39. Meanwhile Tower of Terror at Hollywood Studios averaged only 23 minutes.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
3
3
Animal Kingdom
4
2

Friday, March 4, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
6

Friday saw resort-wide crowd levels match what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted for the second day in a row. Once again only one park strayed more than one index level away from predicted levels: Epcot. Test Track was the busiest attraction at that park but only averaged a 46 minute wait, a level ‘4’ on our scale.

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
6
5
Animal Kingdom
4
5

Saturday, March 5, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
9

Saturday saw a surge in attendance relative to what we saw the rest of the week. Magic Kingdom hit a level ‘9’ thanks to average wait times like 38 minutes at Winnie the Pooh and 61 minutes at Jungle Cruise. Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom were not far behind with averages like 70 minutes at Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster and 42 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
7
3
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
6
8
What to Expect This Week
March 6 to 12, 2016

February has ended and March has begun. That means Spring Break season and this year it also means Easter at the end of the month. Wait times should be fairly manageable for the first part of March then we expect to see crowds build as we approach the busy Easter break.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

5 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – February 28 to March 5, 2016

  • March 9, 2016 at 8:34 am
    Permalink

    Thanks Fred. Can you do the week before last also? Thanks for all you do.

    Reply
  • March 9, 2016 at 9:19 am
    Permalink

    I was at the parks last week, and have been following this weekly post since September, and from what I saw in the parks there was a HUGE amount of people that did not have magic bands. I believe the theory that there’s more people over the past 6 months due to the huge increase in the annual passes does hold water as I honestly believe the ratio of people holding the green cards vs magic bands was at least 2:1. The one early EM hour also had almost no one in the park on Friday but once it hit 9 AM it was packed. I also believe that a lot of people with cards were either borrowing cards, or the cost of staying on site was too expensive since every fp+ delay or long wait was due to confused individuals that held a card. I would think people with more experience with annual passes would know the system better and know to HAVE THEM OUT when going through the line, hence my theory.

    Reply
    • March 10, 2016 at 12:13 pm
      Permalink

      Our Annual passes are yellow, not green, and they come with magic bands. I think the green cards you refer to are actually guests not staying on property and having Magic Your Way tickets. That would also explain why they didn’t know how to use their passes.

      Reply
  • March 9, 2016 at 12:22 pm
    Permalink

    Thank you, Fred. I would also like to see the week before, if possible.

    Reply
  • March 10, 2016 at 9:48 am
    Permalink

    Hey Fred. I was at WDW the February 25- March 2. I am very interested in the 25th in particular. MK was rated a 4 and I could barely walk through the crowds. I tweeted Len and he seemed very surprised. The ride lines for Small World were the longest my parents had ever seen. Please post the numbers for the week of February 21-27. Thanks!

    Reply

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