Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – March 27 to April 2, 2016

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How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?
How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?

Last week, crowds at Disneyland Resort closely followed the arc that the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted we would see. If anything, the parks were slightly less crowded than predicted but not by much and mostly at Disney California Adventure. Still, the ‘8’s, ‘9’s and ’10’s make last week one of the busiest weeks that we will see at Disneyland all year.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report:

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, March 27, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
8
8

Easter Sunday ended up being the least crowded day of last week at Disneyland Park and Disney California Adventure saw some of its lowest wait times of the week. Big Thunder Mountain Railroad averaged 25 minutes (predicted 15) and California Screamin’ averaged 16 (predicted 28). Let’s see how those averages fluctuated throughout the week.

Disney California Adventure
8
6

Monday, March 28, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
10
10

Post-Easter and Spring Break crowds did not arrive subtly. One day after the slowest day of the week, Disneyland Park jumped straight to a level ’10’. Mickey’s House was the only attraction that didn’t see a big increase in average wait, hitting only a 24 minute average. Big Thunder Mountain Railroad averaged 34 minutes (36) and California Screamin’ averaged 33 (44).

Disney California Adventure
10
8

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
10
10

Tuesday’s crowd levels were exactly as predicted by the Disneyland Crowd Calendar which means extreme crowds at both parks. Splash Mountain at 52 minutes (predicted 71) was the only Disneyland attraction that didn’t hit a level 10 on its attraction level scale. Big Thunder averaged 38 (39) and California Screamin’ 25 (40).

Disney California Adventure
9
9

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
10
10

Wednesday crowds were the largest of the week with both parks hitting the top level on our scale. We saw extremely long lines at both parks including average wait times like 51 minutes at Indiana Jones Adventure and 119 minutes at Radiator Springs Racers. Big Thunder and California Screamin’ hit the same averages as Tuesday, 38 minutes (predicted 34) and 25 (predicted 45), respectively.

Disney California Adventure
10
10

Thursday, March 31, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
10
10

Thursday’s levels continued the pattern of extreme Spring Break crowds at both Disneyland parks. Big Thunder Mountain Railroad averaged 43 minutes (predicted 35), its highest of the week so far and California Screamin’ averaged 29 minutes (predicted 44).

Disney California Adventure
10
9

Friday, April 1, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
8
10

On Friday, for the fifth day in a row, Disneyland Park was a level ’10’ on our scale. Only Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage, it’s a small world, Mickey’s House, Peter Pan’s Flight and Haunted Mansion had crowd levels less than a ’10’ however most of those were an ‘8’ or higher. Big Thunder averaged 35 minutes and California Screamin’ was 24.

Disney California Adventure
10
8

Saturday, April 2, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
8
9

Saturday, a blockout day for Deluxe Annual Passholders was the least crowded day of the week along with the previous Sunday although Disneyland Park was still very busy. Big Thunder Mountain Railroad finished the week with an average wait time of 25 minutes and California Screamin’ averaged 16, the lowest average of the week for both attractions.

Disney California Adventure
9
5
What to Expect This Week
April 3 to 9, 2016

Historically the week after Easter and Spring Break is a busy week but not with the extreme wait time averages that we saw last week and the week before. However, early reports of crowds in the parks this week are confirming the changes we made to the Disneyland Crowd Calendar a few weeks ago. There are enough smaller school districts in Southern California off this week that Spring Break crowds will continue through Sunday.

To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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