Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report – May 15 to 21, 2016

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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report
How Crowded Was Disneyland Resort Last Week?

Disney’s latest quarterly report revealed an increase in attendance at Disneyland Resort which seems to be reflected in the wait times we saw last week. It may be that the popularity of Value Season pricing and short staffing is also causing some longer wait times since the relative increase in wait times is larger than the increase in attendance. Crowds dipped during the weekdays however which is a nice change to what we have seen in the weeks past. Guests using an optimal touring plan on a weekday likely didn’t notice the spike in wait times last week.

Note that the equivalent week last year preceded Memorial Day weekend which drives larger crowds while this year Memorial Day occurred a week later on May 30, 2016.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Crowd Calendar Report:

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, May 15, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
9

Disneyland started (and ended) last week with substantial crowds at both parks. On Sunday we saw Alice in Wonderland, Astro Orbitor, Autopia, Big Thunder Mountain Railroad, Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters, Mr Toad’s Wild Ride, Peter Pan’s Flight, Space Mountain and Star Tours hit a crowd level ’10’ on their respective attraction scales.

Disney California Adventure
7
8

Monday, May 16, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
8
Monday’s crowds were a step or two down from what we saw on Sunday although not as far of a step as predicted by the Disneyland Crowd Calendar. The prediction for Indiana Jones Adventure hit the mark though, with an average of 44 minutes.
Disney California Adventure
4
6

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
7

Although the crowd levels last week were higher than predicted the trend (shape of the curve) throughout the week matched what we have seen in years past and that is significant since we have not seen that trend in the past few weeks. Wait times were up but still manageable at both parks on Tuesday.

Disney California Adventure
3
5

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
6

Wednesday was the least crowded day last week, as predicted by the Disneyland Crowd Calendar. Dumbo averaged 17 minutes, Mr Toad’s Wild Ride 19 and Pirates of the Caribbean 18. Average waits were lower still at Disney California Adventure with 12 minutes at Monsters Inc and 15 at California Screamin’.

Disney California Adventure
2
4

Thursday, May 19, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
3
8

Disney California Adventure had the same crowd level on Thursday while Disneyland took a surprising two point jump. Space Mountain averaged 66 minutes and Mr Toad’s Wild Ride averaged 26, both crowd level ’10’s for those attractions.

Disney California Adventure
2
4

Friday, May 20, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
6
8

Friday’s crowds were only one point higher than the Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted resort-wide. Ten attractions at Disneyland Park hit a crowd level ’10’ on their respective attraction level scales, including Space Mountain at 75 minutes and Star Tours at 43.

Disney California Adventure
7
7

Saturday, May 21, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
10

Saturday ended the week with the largest crowd which is surprising given that all annual passes were blocked out and the middle of May is usually low season. Even second tier attractions like Roger Rabbit’s Car Toon Spin and Dumbo the Flying Elephant hit crowd level ’10’s on our scale.

Disney California Adventure
5
8

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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