Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – December 6 to 12, 2015

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How Did The Disney World Crowd Calendar Do Last Week?
How Did The Disney World Crowd Calendar Do Last Week?

Resort-wide crowd levels stayed very close to what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted last week, missing by no more than one level and hitting the mark three out of the seven days. At the park level we saw some wild swings with some parks coming in as many as seven levels higher than others on the same day.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, December 6, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
4

The Disney World Crowd Calendar missed by more than one index level at Animal Kingdom on Sunday while the other three parks were one level higher than predicted. Magic Kingdom was the least crowded park during the day, mostly because it hosted Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party in the evening.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
6

Monday, December 7, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
8

On Monday, Animal Kingdom was the park that hit the mark while the other three were all two levels higher than expected. Pirates of the Caribbean averaged 35 minutes (predicted 20) and Buzz Lightyear Space Ranger Spin averaged 40 (predicted 27).

Epcot
4
6
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
2
2

Tuesday, December 8, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

Tuesday brought another Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party to Magic Kingdom and another corresponding low crowd level. The average wait at Pirates of the Caribbean dropped to 19 minutes (predicted 15) and Buzz Lightyear dropped significantly to 19 minutes (predicted 21).

Epcot
4
6
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
3
4

Wednesday, December 9, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

While Magic Kingdom saw its second highest crowd level of the week on Wednesday, Hollywood Studios was near empty – certainly the lowest crowd level we have seen at that park since early September. Toy Story Midway Mania averaged 62 minutes (predicted 63) but Tower of Terror averaged only 22 minutes and Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster averaged only 30.

Epcot
3
6
Hollywood Studios
5
1
Animal Kingdom
4
3

Thursday, December 10, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
5

Crowd levels were up on Thursday as well but only significantly so at Magic Kingdom and Epcot. Mission: SPACE Green was the big surprise at Epcot with an average wait of 41 minutes although wait times at that attraction can be artificially inflated to match the wait time at the more intense Orange version. Disney doesn’t want the wait time to affect your choice of intensity.

Epcot
5
7
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
2
3

Friday, December 11, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

On Friday, only Hollywood Studios strayed far from what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted. There we saw wait times average levels that were a remarkable seven points higher than just two days before. Tower of Terror averaged 76 minutes and Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster averaged 62.

Epcot
5
4
Hollywood Studios
5
8
Animal Kingdom
2
3

Saturday, December 12, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
9

Saturday was clearly the busiest day of the week last week, the only day without a park hitting a crowd level lower than ‘6’.

Epcot
6
6
Hollywood Studios
5
6
Animal Kingdom
3
7
What to Expect This Week
December 13 to 19, 2015

We may be seeing signs that Disney World Crowds are returning to historical levels after a record-setting fall season. Wait times are still trending “up” however so touring plans will be valuable throughout the rest of December and into the New Year.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

2 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – December 6 to 12, 2015

  • December 16, 2015 at 12:15 pm
    Permalink

    Mission Space used to have 2 simulator bays dedicated to green and 2 for orange, and would manipulate wait times so orange was always a longer wait. That way anyone one the fence would go green and avoid a protein spill. Recently I believe they switched to 3 orange and 1 green, which would account for longer waits on green.

    Reply
  • December 16, 2015 at 5:09 pm
    Permalink

    Wow – I’m surprised that DHS came in at a 6 on 12/12. I was there — in the afternoon the parking lot was full, so people were being routed to park at DAK and take a bus back to the Studios. There were so many people at Osborne that it was frightening — the throng wrapped around the park and it was an hour just to get to the actual street. Crazy town. Maybe the attraction lines weren’t long because everyone and their mother was on the Streets of America?!?

    Reply

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