Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – January 10 to 16, 2016

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How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?
How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?

Crowds at Walt Disney World were in line with what the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted last week except for larger than expected crowds at Magic Kingdom and Disney’s Hollywood Studios on Monday. We can set aside Friday’s crowd numbers because Central Florida was virtually shut down from severe weather warnings during the day. Kudos to those who braved the weather and went to the park anyway and experienced the lowest wait times of the week. Magic Kingdom was the busiest park of the week, never dipping below a level ‘5’ (except on Friday) and peaking at a crowd level ’10’ on Saturday as we headed into Monday’s Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, January 10, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Sunday’s crowds were within one level of the Disney World Crowd Calendar prediction except for Epcot which was two points lower. Epcot’s wait times appear to be lower than usual despite the closure of Soarin’, its main headliner. A significant closure can affect a park in one of two ways – the reduced capacity increases waits at the other attractions or the closure dissuades guests from heading to the park and wait times decrease. So far, the wait times we have seen suggest the latter is more likely.

Epcot
4
2
Hollywood Studios
4
3
Animal Kingdom
4
3

Monday, January 11, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
8

Monday’s wait times are somewhat ‘out of nowhere’ at Magic Kingdom and Hollywood Studios. Those parks saw average waits like 66 minutes at Peter Pan’s Flight and 87 minutes at Toy Story Midway Mania. By contrast, Epcot and Animal Kingdom wait times were comparable with historical averages. Test Track averaged 48 minutes and Kilimanjaro Safaris averaged 27.

Epcot
3
3
Hollywood Studios
4
8
Animal Kingdom
3
3

Tuesday, January 12, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
7

Magic Kingdom continued as the busiest park of the week on Tuesday. Big Thunder Mountain Railroad averaged 38 minutes (predicted 26), Buzz Lightyear’s Space Ranger Spin averaged 29 (14) and Jungle Cruise 42 (33). Meanwhile the other three parks looked like more typical January off-season crowds with none hitting a level higher than ‘4’.

Epcot
5
4
Hollywood Studios
3
4
Animal Kingdom
3
3

Wednesday, January 13, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
6

The three least crowded parks hit their lowest levels of the week on Wednesday. Animal Kingdom attractions were near walk-ons all day and Epcot’s busiest attraction Test Track only averaged 46 minutes. Even Magic Kingdom was not as busy at it had been earlier in the week.

Epcot
3
2
Hollywood Studios
4
3
Animal Kingdom
2
1

Thursday, January 14, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
7

Magic Kingdom was the only standout again on Thursday. It is somewhat surprising that Magic Kingdom had such high crowd levels last week considering that the park closed at 8 pm most days. Peter Pan’s Flight averaged 59 minutes (predicted 62) but it was Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (42 minutes, predicted 25) and Pirates of the Caribbean (29, predicted 20) that pushed the park level higher than the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted.

Epcot
5
3
Hollywood Studios
4
5
Animal Kingdom
3
3

Friday, January 15, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
3

Understanding Friday’s crowd levels requires a look at the weather report. Extreme wind and rain hit Central Florida while much of the state was advised to watch out for tornados. This kept most guests from hitting the parks, although enough people were in the Magic Kingdom to keep the average wait time at 30 minutes for Space Mountain.

Epcot
8
3
Hollywood Studios
8
2
Animal Kingdom
5
1

Saturday, January 16, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

Saturday’s crowds hit a level ’10’ at Magic Kingdom as predicted. At the other three parks we saw a mixed bag of high and low crowd levels. Epcot and Hollywood Studios crowds were lower than expected while Animal Kingdom hit a ’10’ with average wait times like 42 minutes at DINOSAUR and 73 at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
9
6
Hollywood Studios
10
8
Animal Kingdom
7
10
What to Expect This Week
January 17 to 23, 2016

Martin Luther King Junior Day brings the first holiday weekend of the New Year. Once the rush of the weekend concludes (by Tuesday) we expect to enter into a week of pretty quiet crowds at Disney World.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – January 10 to 16, 2016

  • January 21, 2016 at 4:48 pm
    Permalink

    Sunday (1/17) at EPCOT was not bad at all. In addition I think you will show that prediction of a 7 for MK on Tuesday (1/19) will also be high for what we saw. Most likely in the 4-5 range and empty during the morning hours.

    Reply

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