Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – March 27 to April 2, 2016

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How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?
How Crowded Was Disney World Last Week?

Easter and Spring Break crowds continued at Walt Disney World parks last week. We saw four days hit a crowd level ’10’ at all four parks and one day with two ’10’s and two ‘9’s. This makes last week on par with crowds that we see during the period between Christmas Day and New Year’s Eve. These numbers also represent the busiest post-Easter week we have seen at Disney World since Easter 2013.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, March 27, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
10

It may be surprising but it is common for holidays to be less crowded than the days around it. Both Good Friday and Easter Sunday saw very busy crowds but not quite to the level that we saw during the days after. Sunday’s longest waits at Magic Kingdom were the 93 minute and 76 minute average waits at Space Mountain and Peter Pan’s Flight, respectively.

Epcot
10
9
Hollywood Studios
9
10
Animal Kingdom
10
9

Monday, March 28, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

On Monday the Disney World Crowd Calendar predicted ’10’s across the board and that is exactly what we saw. In fact, of the 35 predictions made last week, only two missed by more than one level. Just how busy is a ’10’ day? Space Mountain averaged 120 minutes, 111 at Test Track, 142 at Toy Story Midway Mania and 87 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
10
10
Animal Kingdom
10
10

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

Tuesday’s crowds looked just as busy as Monday’s and when we look at the average wait times it was a little busier, in fact. Space Mountain averaged 142 minutes, 113 at Test Track, 131 at Toy Story Midway Mania and 106 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
10
10
Animal Kingdom
10
10

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

More crowd level ’10’s as expected on Wednesday, let’s check the longest waits in each park. Space Mountain averaged 147 minutes, 127 at Test Track, 135 at Toy Story Midway Mania and 116 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
10
10
Animal Kingdom
10
10

Thursday, March 31, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
10
10

Thursday was the last day of the week with all four parks hitting a crowd level ’10’ but wait times would show averages slightly lower than what we saw Monday through Wednesday. Space Mountain averaged 129 minutes, 105 at Test Track, 127 at Toy Story Midway Mania and 83 minutes at Kilimanjaro Safaris.

Epcot
10
10
Hollywood Studios
10
10
Animal Kingdom
9
10

Friday, April 1, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
9
10

Friday brought a little relief to Epcot and Hollywood Studios although all four parks were very busy. Even with Epcot hitting a level ‘8’ we still saw average waits times like 33 minutes at Mission: Space Orange and 88 minutes at Test Track. Toy Story Midway Mania lowered its average to 100 minutes but Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster took its place as the busiest Studios attraction at 108 minutes.

Epcot
9
8
Hollywood Studios
9
9
Animal Kingdom
8
10

Saturday, April 2, 2016

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Saturday’s crowds were the slowest of the week, by far, a clear indication that Spring Break crowds had begun to travel home. Epcot and Hollywood Studios in particular saw their lowest average waits of the week, like 69 minutes at Test Track and 88 at Toy Story Midway Mania.

Epcot
9
6
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
8
What to Expect This Week
April 3 to 9, 2016

Easter and Spring Break are done (for 95% of school districts) but early reports of crowds this week are showing much busier parks than expected. Disney has labelled this week as “Regular” on its single-day ticket price calendar but crowds seem anything but regular. Make sure to follow your plan strictly and re-optimize while in the park on your mobile device.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

16 thoughts on “Disney World Crowd Calendar Report – March 27 to April 2, 2016

  • April 7, 2016 at 6:27 am
    Permalink

    You can’t really include the weather in your predictions, but I think Saturday’s crowd levels had more to do with the 5 hours of downpour than Spring Break ending. The parks were more crowded on Sunday and Monday when the sun was shining bright, at least they felt more crowded.

    Reply
  • April 7, 2016 at 6:39 am
    Permalink

    Any idea of why this week is super busy? Must say, I’m a bit nervous for our trip next week if the unanticipated crowd trend continues

    Reply
    • April 7, 2016 at 7:07 am
      Permalink

      I live in Michigan and most schools have Spring Break this week. I think because Easter was so early this year that districts didn’t attach Spring Break with the holiday.

      Reply
    • April 7, 2016 at 7:48 am
      Permalink

      These kinds of crowd levels are unprecedented for the second week after Easter. Even though there are some school districts that are on Spring Break, 9 out of 10 school districts are back in session. Also surprising is that Disney has labelled this week as “Regular” on its single day ticket calendar. Make sure to re-optimize your plans while in the park and stick to the steps as strictly as you can.

      Reply
  • April 7, 2016 at 7:04 am
    Permalink

    Parks have been crazy busy so far this week. My sister and I were waiting in front of the gate at MK and ended up chatting with another Touring Plans prepared family. We were among the first families to be escorted onto the Dwarves ride. By the time we exited, he ride line was already forty minutes, and it wasn’t even 9:15 yet! What happened? If the majority of school districts have completed their spring breaks, are the extra crowds comprised of families who took an additional week’s vacation? What a bummer! Good news is we averaged three rides an hour between park opening and lunch time by using plans! Thanks Touring Plans!

    Reply
  • April 7, 2016 at 10:06 am
    Permalink

    I believe a lot schools in the U.K. are off this week, which might be contributing to current crowds (this could be a stretch, but perhaps due to unrest in Europe more families are traveling to Florida for vacation than usual. . ?).

    Also, a lot of schools in the northeast are off next week (April 11-15); here in MA the following week (April 18-22); and some in NY the last week in April (25-29), I think because passover is late this year, so be prepared for crowds throughout April.

    Reply
    • April 7, 2016 at 10:59 am
      Permalink

      I think you’re right about the UK. We were there Thursday and it was packed with a shocking amount of British accents. The upside is that even though it was a 10 for MK, the crowds were generally nicer than they normally are.

      Reply
      • April 8, 2016 at 12:32 am
        Permalink

        I second hearing a lot of Uk tourists. And your right for as crowded as the parks are, it hasn’t been too rude.

      • April 14, 2016 at 11:00 pm
        Permalink

        Wow! I was also surprised by the ratio of UK visitors. That definitely played a part in crowd levels. When we visited Kidani Lodge for dinner at Sanaa, it seemed like half the resort guests were from UK. They really like that “Buy one week, get one free” offer from the UK WDW site & I don’t blame them 😀 Just hope Disney offers it to them for April holiday in Shanghai next year.

        Our NJ School is off this week, 4-11 to 4/15.

  • April 7, 2016 at 10:59 am
    Permalink

    Not Thursday, Tuesday 🙂

    Reply
  • April 7, 2016 at 9:38 pm
    Permalink

    You’re right that UK Easter holidays are this week and next, but I wouldn’t expect that to push crowd levels from a predicted 5 to actual 10. Surely the predictions account for international holidays? Also, seems to me that the majority of guests are from the US.

    Reply
  • April 8, 2016 at 12:05 pm
    Permalink

    Like another Touring Plans person commented, the crowds are super heavy this week. We are not on spring break and planned to come at this time because we saw it was a lower level on the tracking calendar. Thanks to our plan we are enjoying many rides but also waiting quite a bit. Wednesday felt like a “10” at MK to me but today seems more like a “8.”
    On a positive note, the weather has been amazing!

    Reply
    • April 10, 2016 at 5:03 pm
      Permalink

      We were there the first week of April and the weather almost made up for the crowds. Still got to do rides, etc, but getting around the parks was challenging. Looking forward to reading the report of this week.

      Reply
    • April 14, 2016 at 11:13 pm
      Permalink

      Yes, our weather was amazing too. Only rain was for 2 hours on the 7th (last) park day yesterday. Knowing which rides to do when greatly boosted our experience.

      Touring Plans & easyWDW are the best sites to keep us informed on touring & meals. Thank you Fred! ;D

      Reply
  • April 12, 2016 at 7:22 am
    Permalink

    We managed to pull off the 4 park grand slam (actually 5, we started and ended at MK and we even managed a dinner at ‘Ohana, too!) on April 1st, my son’s 10th birthday. We did most everything we wanted to! Fun day! Crowded everywhere we went, but that was expected during Spring Break. We’ve seen crowds like that during Thanksgiving week also. The key is to have knowledge of the parks, utilize single rider lines and to keep expectations low, that way no one is disappointed If something doesn’t go the way we planned. Only thing we missed was a ride on Tower of Terror, we missed our FP for it, but we knew that might happen and planned accordingly to scrap it if we had to. There’s always a next time! Happy to see that you can now book FP’s in other parks now. Too bad we missed that, that would have helped us some. We made all the other big ticket attractions in each park though. Mission accomplished! That said, we don’t need to attempt that again. Once for the books was enough for us! : )

    Reply
  • April 15, 2016 at 12:11 am
    Permalink

    Sounds like The Perfect 10th BDay. Lucky boy!
    Having alternatives is great to offset disappointment.
    Our Toy Story FP expired as we entered. Mine flashed green right at the 15 mins late allowance, but my son’s didn’t (I incorrectly remembered the order of our FPs). Thanx CM for letting us in 😀

    We considered the “Grand Slam” for our last day, ended up splitting it over our last 2 days. Worked beautifully.
    Using hoppers for night EMHs at Epcot & MK–
    Tues: HS 9-3 (2pm Sci-Fi lunch), Pool Break at AoA, EP 5-11pm (Marrakesh at 7pm).
    Wed: AK 9-4:30 (lunch at Flametree), Dinner at Sanaa, MK 8pm-1am.

    Last chance to hit anything missed & repeat our favorites 🙂

    Reply

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