Disneyland Resort Crowd Calendar Report – January 25 to 31, 2015

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Last week our Disneyland Crowd Calendar predicted each day exactly right until Friday and Saturday arrived when we saw a spike in wait times at both parks. Saturday was particularly busy at Disney California Adventure, a level ‘8’ on our scale which is very high for a Saturday in January. It appears that the closure of Condor Flats (which includes Soarin’ Over California and Grizzly River Run) may be pushing guests towards Tower of Terror and California Screamin’ more than usual on weekends.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Disneyland Resort Crowd Report:

Disneyland Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, January 25, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
4

Sunday’s average waits at Tower of Terror (58 minutes, predicted 25) and California Screamin’ (26 minutes, predicted 15) are one of the signs that Condor Flats’ closure is having an effect.

Disney California Adventure
6
7

Monday, January 26, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
2

Monday’s wait times quickly returned to levels that we’d expect to see in late January. Buzz Lightyear Astro Blaster averaged only 7 minutes and Jungle Cruise only 13.

Disney California Adventure
3
3

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
2

Tuesday’s wait times took another step lower at both parks which means averages like 17 minutes at Tower of Terror and 13 at California Screamin’ – quite a contrast to what we’ve been seeing on weekends.

Disney California Adventure
2
1

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
1
2

More ‘1’s and ‘2’s on Wednesday with similarly low wait times. Dumbo averaged 9 minutes (predicted 14), 15 minutes at Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage (predicted 14).

Disney California Adventure
2
1

Thursday, January 29, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
2
3

Crowd calendar predictions missed by one level at each park on Thursday – one level low at Disneyland Park and one too high at Disney California Adventure. Notable waits were 27 minutes at Alice In Wonderland and 26 minutes at Toy Story Midway Mania.

Disney California Adventure
2
1

Friday, January 30, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
4
5

Friday’s crowds showed a significant bump in attendance compared to the rest of the week. By comparison with Thursday we saw average waits like 33 at Alice in Wonderland and 37 at Toy Story Midway Mania.

Disney California Adventure
4
6

Saturday, January 31, 2015

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Disneyland Park
5
7

A bigger bump in wait times occurred on Saturday, at both parks. Average wait times at Disneyland were 10 to 18 minutes higher than they had been during the week. At Disney California Adventure, the difference was 12 to 20 minutes.

Disney California Adventure
4
8
What to Expect This Week
February 1 to 7, 2015
How Crowded is Disneyland?
How Crowded is Disneyland?

The first week of February is one of our favorite weeks to visit Disneyland Resort. Weather is usually nice and crowds are manageable. Beware that the first week week of February quickly gives way to Presidents Day which is one of the busiest weeks of the year.

To see Disneyland Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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