High wait times persist – Disney World crowds for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

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High posted wait times persisted across most of Walt Disney World today, with the wait-time signs outside Magic Kingdom attractions averaging 50 minute lines throughout the day.  That’s the highest we’ve seen in the past year (so far today, anyway), but actual wait times we’ve got are averaging just 62% of the posted wait (about 31 minutes in this example).  So there’s still a pretty large gap there. And posted waits at EPCOT hit 36 minutes today, highest they’ve been in the past month.  That was driven in part by Test Track going offline around 12:30 PM – it’s still closed as I write this.  That takes a ton of ride capacity out of EPCOT’s lineup.  And over at Animal Kingdom, the average posted wait of 57 minutes today is the 4th-highest of the past year.

Finally, over at Hollywood Studios, we counted the number of riders exiting Rise of the Resistance for two hours today, and we think each boarding group called contained around 100 people. That’s consistent with what we’ve seen before, so a boarding group size of 100 seems to be a decent estimate for Rise of the Resistance.  And that means that Rise of the Resistance’s daily rider numbers, which have peaked at just over 15,000, are about 6% lower than they were earlier this year.

We’ve got 192 actual wait times so far today from our fabulous Lines community! Let’s do the rest of the numbers.

Magic Kingdom Wait Times

Tomorrowland Transit Authority PeopleMover had an average wait time today of 41 minutes. Its 7-day average is 27 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 22 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 20 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

I mean, let’s put that TTA average wait time in perspective. It can’t be right.  Big Thunder’s average posted wait was 37 minutes, after all.  Would people wait in line longer for TTA than Big Thunder?  Who are those people?

Magic Kingdom wait times for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Astro Orbiter had an average wait time today of 54 minutes. Its 7-day average is 50 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 44 minutes, so today ranks #3 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 34 minutes, so today ranks #3 for the past year.

Big Thunder Mountain Railroad had an average wait time today of 37 minutes. Its 7-day average is 37 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 37 minutes, so today ranks #11 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 40 minutes, so today ranks #201 for the past year. We received 4 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 60% of the posted wait time.

Buzz Lightyear’s Space Ranger Spin had an average wait time today of 57 minutes. Its 7-day average is 45 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 41 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 31 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 8 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 57% of the posted wait time.

Country Bear Jamboree had an average wait time today of 19 minutes. Its 7-day average is 10 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 10 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 10 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Dumbo the Flying Elephant had an average wait time today of 44 minutes. Its 7-day average is 37 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 28 minutes, so today ranks #2 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 16 minutes, so today ranks #2 for the past year.

Jungle Cruise had an average wait time today of 87 minutes. Its 7-day average is 70 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 59 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 43 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 4 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 57% of the posted wait time.

Mad Tea Party had an average wait time today of 29 minutes. Its 7-day average is 23 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 19 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 14 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Mickey’s PhilharMagic had an average wait time today of 35 minutes. Its 7-day average is 24 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 18 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 22 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Peter Pan’s Flight had an average wait time today of 73 minutes. Its 7-day average is 60 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 54 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 36 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 5 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 75% of the posted wait time.

Pirates of the Caribbean had an average wait time today of 62 minutes. Its 7-day average is 55 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 41 minutes, so today ranks #2 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 43 minutes, so today ranks #19 for the past year. We received 7 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 29% of the posted wait time.

Space Mountain had an average wait time today of 86 minutes. Its 7-day average is 69 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 60 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 41 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 9 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 75% of the posted wait time.

Splash Mountain had an average wait time today of 86 minutes. Its 7-day average is 80 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 71 minutes, so today ranks #3 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 57 minutes, so today ranks #11 for the past year. We received 7 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 57% of the posted wait time.

The Barnstormer had an average wait time today of 40 minutes. Its 7-day average is 33 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 25 minutes, so today ranks #2 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 18 minutes, so today ranks #3 for the past year.

The Haunted Mansion had an average wait time today of 71 minutes. Its 7-day average is 59 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 50 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 30 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 11 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 62% of the posted wait time.

The Magic Carpets of Aladdin had an average wait time today of 33 minutes. Its 7-day average is 26 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 22 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 15 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh had an average wait time today of 53 minutes. Its 7-day average is 42 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 38 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 26 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 4 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 81% of the posted wait time.

Tomorrowland Speedway had an average wait time today of 40 minutes. Its 7-day average is 29 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 25 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 17 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Seven Dwarfs Mine Train had an average wait time today of 98 minutes. Its 7-day average is 86 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 76 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 59 minutes, so today ranks #4 for the past year.

Under the Sea ~ Journey of the Little Mermaid had an average wait time today of 55 minutes. Its 7-day average is 39 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 33 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 22 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Animal Kingdom Wait Times

Avatar Flight of Passage had an average wait time today of 132 minutes. Its 7-day average is 128 minutes, so today ranks #4 for this week. Its 30-day average is 117 minutes, so today ranks #7 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 60 minutes, so today ranks #7 for the past year. We received 6 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 75% of the posted wait time.

Animal Kingdom wait times for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

DINOSAUR had an average wait time today of 51 minutes. Its 7-day average is 41 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 37 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 34 minutes, so today ranks #51 for the past year.

Expedition Everest – Legend of the Forbidden Mountain had an average wait time today of 45 minutes. Its 7-day average is 43 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 40 minutes, so today ranks #6 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 27 minutes, so today ranks #23 for the past year. We received 13 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 51% of the posted wait time.

Kali River Rapids had an average wait time today of 53 minutes. Its 7-day average is 60 minutes, so today ranks #5 for this week. Its 30-day average is 51 minutes, so today ranks #12 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 27 minutes, so today ranks #19 for the past year.

Kilimanjaro Safaris had an average wait time today of 61 minutes. Its 7-day average is 61 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 52 minutes, so today ranks #6 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 28 minutes, so today ranks #8 for the past year.

It’s Tough to Be a Bug! had an average wait time today of 21 minutes. Its 7-day average is 17 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 15 minutes, so today ranks #4 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 18 minutes, so today ranks #136 for the past year.

TriceraTop Spin had an average wait time today of 18 minutes. Its 7-day average is 15 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #7 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 7 minutes, so today ranks #8 for the past year.

Na’vi River Journey had an average wait time today of 63 minutes. Its 7-day average is 56 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 55 minutes, so today ranks #3 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 47 minutes, so today ranks #54 for the past year.

EPCOT Wait Times

Soarin’ had an average wait time today of 46 minutes. Its 7-day average is 33 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 33 minutes, so today ranks #5 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 39 minutes, so today ranks #151 for the past year. We received 6 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 56% of the posted wait time.

EPCOT wait times for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Gran Fiesta Tour Starring The Three Caballeros had an average wait time today of 33 minutes. Its 7-day average is 23 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 21 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 11 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Journey Into Imagination With Figment had an average wait time today of 19 minutes. Its 7-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #2 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 14 minutes, so today ranks #95 for the past year.

Living with the Land had an average wait time today of 19 minutes. Its 7-day average is 12 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 14 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 11 minutes, so today ranks #7 for the past year. We received 4 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 46% of the posted wait time.

Mission: SPACE Orange had an average wait time today of 50 minutes. Its 7-day average is 31 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 30 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 33 minutes, so today ranks #41 for the past year.

Spaceship Earth had an average wait time today of 36 minutes. Its 7-day average is 27 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 26 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 20 minutes, so today ranks #11 for the past year.

Test Track had an average wait time today of 93 minutes. Its 7-day average is 73 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 72 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 58 minutes, so today ranks #11 for the past year.

The Seas with Nemo & Friends had an average wait time today of 18 minutes. Its 7-day average is 16 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 16 minutes, so today ranks #3 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #48 for the past year. We received 5 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 90% of the posted wait time.

Mission: SPACE Green had an average wait time today of 12 minutes. Its 7-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #3 for this week. Its 30-day average is 14 minutes, so today ranks #23 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 15 minutes, so today ranks #269 for the past year.

Hollywood Studios Wait Times

Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run had an average wait time today of 102 minutes. Its 7-day average is 92 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 77 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 55 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 7 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 92% of the posted wait time.

Hollywood Studios wait times for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Muppet*Vision 3D had an average wait time today of 16 minutes. Its 7-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 13 minutes, so today ranks #4 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 21 minutes, so today ranks #184 for the past year.

Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster Starring Aerosmith had an average wait time today of 84 minutes. Its 7-day average is 73 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 67 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 44 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year. We received 5 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 49% of the posted wait time.

Star Tours: The Adventures Continue had an average wait time today of 38 minutes. Its 7-day average is 32 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 28 minutes, so today ranks #2 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 28 minutes, so today ranks #35 for the past year. We received 10 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 62% of the posted wait time.

The Twilight Zone Tower of Terror had an average wait time today of 65 minutes. Its 7-day average is 70 minutes, so today ranks #4 for this week. Its 30-day average is 59 minutes, so today ranks #8 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 51 minutes, so today ranks #66 for the past year. We received 11 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 66% of the posted wait time.

Toy Story Mania! had an average wait time today of 51 minutes. Its 7-day average is 52 minutes, so today ranks #4 for this week. Its 30-day average is 51 minutes, so today ranks #14 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 30 minutes, so today ranks #15 for the past year. We received 13 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 60% of the posted wait time.

Slinky Dog Dash had an average wait time today of 103 minutes. Its 7-day average is 100 minutes, so today ranks #3 for this week. Its 30-day average is 94 minutes, so today ranks #4 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 65 minutes, so today ranks #4 for the past year.

Alien Swirling Saucers had an average wait time today of 49 minutes. Its 7-day average is 42 minutes, so today ranks #1 for this week. Its 30-day average is 40 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 27 minutes, so today ranks #1 for the past year.

Mickey & Minnie’s Runaway Railway had an average wait time today of 70 minutes. Its 7-day average is 70 minutes, so today ranks #2 for this week. Its 30-day average is 65 minutes, so today ranks #7 for the past month. Its 365-day average is 53 minutes, so today ranks #68 for the past year. We received 16 actual wait times today, and the actual wait averaged 81% of the posted wait time.

Rise of the Resistance is having another middling day of operations.  Rise of the Resistance began calling boarding groups around 8:50 AM today, which is toward the earlier side of its start-time range over the past week.  Rise has had two delays so far today: around 45 minutes at 12:45 PM, and about 20 minutes at 2:30 PM.  As it stands, Rise of the Resistance should get to around boarding group 150 today, or around 15,000 people.

Rise of the Resistance boarding groups for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

 

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Len Testa

Len Testa is the co-author of the Unofficial Guide to Walt Disney World, and has contributed to the Disneyland and Las Vegas Unofficial Guides. Most of his time is spent trying to keep up with the team. Len's email address is len@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @lentesta.

3 thoughts on “High wait times persist – Disney World crowds for Wednesday, July 28, 2021

  • July 29, 2021 at 11:49 am
    Permalink

    With the increase in average wait times, will we be seeing changes to the crowd calendar and/or wait time projections going forward to reflect the new normal? Crowd level forecasts for my family’s upcoming visit in August are similar, for each park, to some of the crowd levels measured by TP over the past 2 weeks (per the Lines app), yet the predicted attraction wait times for our trip (as forecasted by TP) are significantly lower than what’s actually been observed and reported over the past 2 weeks. For example, wait time forecasts at Under the Sea: Journey of the Little Mermaid at MK on one of our trip days, with a crowd level forecast of 6 ,are averaging out at 10-15 minutes. However, _actual_ waits for that attraction on recent crowd level “6” days were 2-3 times as long! I just want to be able to adjust my expectations appropriately. Thanks in advance for your insights!

    Reply
    • July 29, 2021 at 12:29 pm
      Permalink

      We update attraction and crowd level predictions often as conditions in the parks change. With COVID-19 rates increasing in Florida, and indoor mask mandates reinstated, we don’t expect August to have higher crowd levels than July. We are getting some feedback from travel agents that guests are canceling or postponing their vacations.

      When talking about wait times, there are two types of wait times: The Wait Time posted by Disney, and the Actual Wait Time a person waits for an attraction. In these daily Wait Time blog posts, if we get enough user-submitted actual wait times for the day Len report “actual wait averaged XX% of the posted wait time.” With multiple days of data, we can estimate this ratio for each attraction and how it changes throughout the day. On a Touring Plan, we show the “Actual Wait Time” not the “Disney Posted Wait Time.” Fred and Becky did a YouTube video that shows how different “Disney Posted” and “Actual” wait times can be.

      Reply
  • July 29, 2021 at 12:04 pm
    Permalink

    On second thought, maybe it’s overly presumptuous of me to assume this is a “new normal” rather than an aberration… either way, your thoughts are appreciated!

    Reply

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