Disney Data Dump June 11 2025

What happens when you combine steamy weather, shorter park hours, and most families being out of school? Apparently, you get another week of chill crowds at Walt Disney World. Even with Cool Kid Summer officially underway, this week felt more like September than June. If you were expecting to see crowds spike, this isn’t that week. But if you’re looking ahead to a summer trip and wondering whether the heat will be offset by lower wait times, let’s dive into what the data is telling us.

Observed Crowd Levels June 3 – 9

Wellllll, I guess we should’ve seen this coming. Cool Kid Summer crowds have cooled off as temperatures have started to heat up. It looks very possible that families who were going to take advantage of the deals did so as early as possible to try to avoid the worst of the summer weather. That doesn’t necessarily mean the parks will be this empty for the rest of the summer. There might be other upticks. But it certainly doesn’t seem like the parks are going to be crushed by demand anytime soon.

It’s very easy to see the impact of the end of Flower and Garden Festival here (it wrapped up on June 2nd). We’re back to Diet EPCOT for the summer, and not even the opening of Geo-82 could push crowds up into the 5-7 level range that the park has been seeing during festival seasons. Instead, it’s seeing similar crowd levels to Hollywood Studios on most days. Magic Kingdom continues to be the easiest park to visit and navigate, even hitting crowd level 1 on a couple of days!

Performance of Crowd Level Predictions

Each week, I give you a very transparent look into how the TouringPlans crowd level predictions performed. Each day at each park is one data point, so each week we have 28 different crowd level predictions to evaluate. Any time a prediction is within one or two crowd levels, things won’t really “feel” much different than what was predicted. Being off by 3 or more crowd levels is where you might feel that difference in wait times throughout the day.

In the past week, Touring Plans predictions were either spot-on or within 1 crowd level 18% of the time. That’s the lowest number we’ve seen in a while. And just 36% of the time Touring Plans predictions were within 2 crowd levels, so that means we get an F for our predictions in the past week again. All misses were over-predictions, meaning that crowds came in lower than expected throughout the past week. On average, the crowd level at any park any day of the week was about 2.9 crowd levels below prediction. That means crowds were once again significantly, noticeably, below what was predicted. The biggest miss of the week was an overprediction by 5 crowd levels, which happened at Hollywood Studios on June 8th. On that day, the park was predicted to be a crowd level 7, but only ended up being a crowd level 2.

Attraction Downtime June 3 – 9

If we average all of the capacity lost due to unexpected downtime over the past week, it comes out to 2.4% of attractions unexpectedly being down. That’s down from the past few weeks, which is good news for guests. In the past week, Hollywood Studios was the park with the most overall downtime, averaging 3.1% of its capacity lost to downtime throughout the week.

The worst day for attraction downtime in the past week was on June 4th. On that day, 4% of all capacity at WDW was lost due to unexpected downtime. The worst park-day of the week was a tie this week, on June 4th at Animal Kingdom and June 8th at Hollywood Studios. On those days, 8% of attraction capacity was lost due to unexpected downtime. Animal Kingdom was open for 10 hours on the 4th, so 8% downtime is the equivalent of the entire park shutting down for 48 minutes. And Hollywood Studios was open for 12 hours on the 8th, so 8% downtime there is like the whole park being closed for almost an hour.

Attraction Downtime Worst Offender

In the past week, Remy’s Ratatouille Adventure was the WDW attraction with the worst overall downtime. It’s finally not Slinky Dog Dash! Let there be great rejoicing in the land. Remy was unexpectedly down for 11% of the past week. The worst day at Remy was on June 9th, when the attraction was down for 33% of the day. But it was also down for a significant portion of the day on several other days. These are weird, long, sporadic downtimes without any really clear trends, other than general unreliability. Remy hasn’t seen problems like this for a long time.

Rope Drop Downtime

Here are problematic offenders from the past week, with the percentage of downtime during the first hour of the day in parentheses:

• Magic Kingdom: Under the Sea (14%), Tiana’s Bayou Adventure (13%)
• EPCOT: Remy’s Ratatouille Adventure (27%)
• Hollywood Studios: Slinky Dog Dash (22%), Rise of the Resistance (21%)
• Animal Kingdom: No rope drop downtime issues!

Look at Magic Kingdom finally doing better! That’s exciting. Unfortunately, while Hollywood Studios didn’t have a lot of attractions with rope drop issues, the two attractions that were down at least a fifth of the time were the two biggest rope drop draws. Looks like we’re back to needing a non-Slinky, non-Rise backup rope drop plan at the Studios.

Gold star for the week goes to Animal Kingdom! Our reliable queen.

Wait Times June 3 – 9

Attractions with the Highest Average Posted Wait at Each Park

• EPCOT: Cosmic Rewind, average posted wait of 83 minutes (was 85 minutes last week)
• Magic Kingdom: TRON, average posted wait time of 72 minutes (was 72 minutes last week)
• Hollywood Studios: Slinky Dog Dash, average posted wait of 71 minutes (was 75 minutes two weeks ago)
• Animal Kingdom: Flight of Passage, average posted wait time of 64 minutes (was 63 minutes last week)

This is a really interesting set of data, given how much crowd levels dropped off this week. Crowds were way down compared to the past two weeks overall, but waits at headliners were almost unchanged. The biggest drop was at Slinky, and that was mostly thanks to it having less downtime. Otherwise, the headliners all stayed busy. But waits at other attractions were down.

Parks with the Highest and Lowest Average Wait

These parks likely won’t change week-to-week unless something ridiculous happens, but these data points will give us a high-level view of how wait times are trending from week to week.

• Highest: Animal Kingdom, average park-wide posted wait of 36 minutes (was 36 minutes last week)
• Lowest: Magic Kingdom, average park-wide posted wait of 22 minutes (was 23 minutes last week)

Animal Kingdom, our reliable and consistent park. The average posted wait at AK has been 36 minutes for four weeks straight! Other parks vary a little bit more.

Most Inflated Posted Wait Times

We all know that Disney inflates their posted wait times on purpose. They have many reasons for doing this. Some are totally understandable, and some are potentially more problematic. We can figure out how much posted wait times are being inflated by comparing submitted actual wait times from the Lines App and the posted wait time when the person timing their wait entered the line.

Over the past week, actual wait times in the Lines App averaged 68% of what was posted. Overall, if the posted wait time at a popular attraction was 60 minutes, you could’ve expected to wait less than 41 minutes instead.

But the worst offender for the past week was meeting Anna and Elsa in Norway. At this one attraction, submitted actual wait times were only 38% of posted wait times in the past week. That means that if the attraction had a 30 minute posted wait, you probably would have actually only waited 11.5 minutes instead. Close to a third of what was posted. Remember to always check the Lines app for predicted actual waits instead of making decisions based on what is posted.

This Week’s Wait Time Rock Star

Between June 3rd and 9th, we had over 1,200 timed actual waits submitted through the Lines app. The one person who recorded the most actual waits during that time was maryisagrandoldname, with 59 overall timed waits – 51 standby waits and 8 Lightning Lane waits. Thanks for all of that timing, maryisagrandoldname! It unfortunately does not compete with the the 97 timed waits in a single week from our current timing champion, preef.

Looking Ahead: June 10 – 16

I write this article on Tuesday evenings so that you all have the very freshest of data on Wednesdays. That means the 10th will already be in the past by the time you’ve read this, so welcome to the future!

We’re clearly seeing that Cool Kid Summer deals probably aren’t having as much of an impact in the WDW theme parks as Disney would like. Let me get ahead of a few hypotheses here – it’s not because Epic is stealing guests away. And right now, it’s not because Disney is pricing people out in general. This is the cheapest summer to visit Disney in quite a few years (at least since the pandemic) thanks to all of those deals. Summers have been trending lower and lower in general, and a lot of the reason they’re not emptier is international visitors. International travel is way down, and even with big deals, economic uncertainty is making people wary of spending a lot on a vacation. So these low crowds shouldn’t come as a shock to anyone.

There is absolutely no reason that we should see any major shifts in crowd levels over the next week. Expect to stay in that 3-5 range for WDW as a whole. Park hours are short-ish, which means Disney knows that no crushes of humanity are headed to the parks. No special events, no debuting parades, and Cool Kid Summers already underway.

What may put a damper on your Orlando trip this week is weather. We have entered summer afternoon thunderstorm season, so you’ll want to make sure to get your outdoor attractions out of the way in the morning, or save them for the evening instead. Otherwise, just be prepared for the heat. Stay hydrated!

Were you in the parks this past week? Or are you headed to Orlando soon? Let me know in the comments below!