Universal Orlando Crowd Report – December 14 to 20, 2014

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Last week, we predicted that the first part of the week would stay in the lower part of our scale then increase as the weekend approached. What we observed at Universal Orlando was pretty close to that, with the first half of the week hovering at a level ‘3’ followed by three days at a level ‘4’. Only two of our park level predictions missed by more than one index level.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the TouringPlans.com Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Report:

Universal Orlando Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, December 14, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
2
2

Islands of Adventure surprised us a little on Sunday with wait times a few minutes higher than expected. Especially at Harry Potter and the Forbidden Journey (38 minutes, predicted 17) and  The Amazing Adventures of Spider-Man (23 minutes, predicted 19). Everywhere else our predictions hit the mark.

Islands of Adventure
2
4

Monday, December 15, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
3
3

No errors with our predictions on Monday. Despicable Me hit 40 minutes (predicted 42) and Revenge of the Mummy averaged 10 minutes, as predicted.

Islands of Adventure
3
3

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
2
3

Another good day on Tuesday, both for our predictions and for guests visiting the parks. Both parks saw less than 30 minute waits at all the major attractions.

Islands of Adventure
2
2

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
2
3

In terms of the numbers, Wednesday matched what we saw on Tuesday although Despicable Me reached an average posted time of 42 minutes (predicted 44).

Islands of Adventure
2
2

Thursday, December 18, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
3
4

Thursday is the first day where we saw wait times increase slightly. The ‘4’ at The Studios and ‘3’ at Islands of Adventure represents the largest crowd we’ve seen at Universal since Thanksgiving.

Islands of Adventure
3
3

Friday, December 19, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
5
4

Friday’s crowds continued the slight increase that we saw on Thursday. Wait times were 3 to 8 minutes higher on Thursday/Friday than they had been all week and in fact higher than most of Fall, 2014.

Islands of Adventure
4
3

Saturday, December 20, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Universal Studios
6
5

Saturday’s crowd did not quite live up to the wait times we predicted, especially at Islands of Adventure. Average posted waits were 10 to 12 minutes lower than we predicted.

Islands of Adventure
5
3
What to Expect This Week
December 21 to 27, 2014
How Crowded is Universal Orlando Resort?
How Crowded is Universal Orlando Resort?

This week is the first week of the peak Christmas season. Wait times will build steeply starting on December 23 and will stay high until January 2.

To see Universal Orlando Resort Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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