Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Update for September 2018

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September is here, and we continue our monthly schedule of updates to the Disney World Crowd Calendar.

This month’s Crowd Calendar update only has minor changes. Most days did not change, and where there is a change, it is only 1 point. Any change is related to park hour changes. Without any schedule or pricing changes from Disney, we don’t see anything new that would change our predictions. Last month’s update showed a reduction in crowd levels. Our statistic models predicted some 1s and 2s for August, and the observed data confirmed that the last week of August had low crowd levels.

Looking Ahead

To see what is driving the crowds, check out last month’s update. Below is a table showing the monthly crowd levels for the next 12 months.

Month WDW MK EP HS AK
September 2018 2.9 3.3 2.9 3.1 3.1
October 2018 5.1 4.7 5.1 5.5 5.6
November 2018 5.9 5.4 5.4 6.1 5.5
December 2018 7.0 6.4 6.3 7.4 7.2
January 2019 5.9 5.5 5.2 6.8 6.3
February 2019 5.6 5.7 4.3 6.3 6.6
March 2019 7.0 6.8 6.3 7.3 8.3
April 2019 7.2 7.1 6.6 6.2 7.7
May 2019 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 6.6
June 2019 6.7 6.9 5.8 6.6 7.9
July 2019 6.3 5.8 5.2 5.7 7.8
August 2019 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.9 5.3

What We Are Watching

This fall we expect Disney to announce new variable ticket pricing. Just like one-day tickets, multi-day tickets will have different prices based on the dates and parks you plan to visit. The variable ticketing pricing could change guests’ travel patterns. Over the next 18 months, we expect openings of new hotels and attractions. Once opening dates are announced, we will adjust crowd levels.

Have any questions or comments about the Crowd Calendar update? Let us know in the comments.

Steve Bloom

By helping TouringPlans.com continue to reach the most accurate crowd level predictions, Steve finally found a way to meld his training in statistical analysis with a lifelong passion for Disney. He first visited the Magic Kingdom in 1972, just a few months after it opened. Now he enjoys frequent trips with his two kids. At age four his son insisted on wearing cowboy boots to reach the height requirement for Test Track, and his daughter believes that a smoked turkey leg and Dole Whip make a perfectly balanced meal. Even though she doesn't quite get it, Steve's wife is supportive of his Disney activities.

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