Crowd BlogWalt Disney World (FL)

February 2020 Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Update

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The February 2020 Crowd Calendar update is now live. So far 2020 is showing increased crowds at Walt Disney World. We expect this trend will continue through spring break. We will be tracking trends and make the necessary adjustments as needed.

February 2020 (Crowd Levels WDW:6.8 MK:6.7 EP:7.1 HS:6.3 AK:7.5)

The weeks of Presidents’ Day (February 15-23) and Mardi Gras (February 22-29) are popular times for many school districts to take a break. Luckily, the two holidays are on different weeks in 2020, and that will help spread out the crowds. February 22 and 23, Disney’s Hollywood Studios crowd level increased by 3 points. This will be a busy weekend as it falls between Presidents’ Day and Mardi Gras. Epcot’s crowd level on February 22 also increased by three points. The increase in crowd levels is more in line with historic crowd levels.

On February 19 Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run will become a top-tier FastPass+ attraction. There is a dark side of FastPass+: the more people who get to “skip the line” with FastPass+, the longer waits will be in the standby line. We expect wait times for Millennium Falcon to go up 50-75%.

March 2020 (Crowd Levels WDW:8.3 MK:8.5 EP:7.9 HS:8.7 AK:7.9)
April 2020 (Crowd Levels WDW:5.6 MK:5.7 EP:5.8 HS:5.2 AK:6.1)

Spring Break has become a very popular time at Walt Disney World, even more popular than the summer. Peak spring break season for 2020 is between March 7 and April 13. With Easter moving around the calendar from year to year, the crowd pattern also changes. Easter 2020 is April 12. The week before Easter (April 4-11) will have the highest crowds of spring break.

The large increase in crowd levels at Disney’s Hollywood Studio is mainly driven by the opening of Mickey & Minnie’s Runaway Railway ride, which opens on March 4, 2020. The Magic Kingdom crowd level decreased by 3 points on April 27 since the park closes earlier than we expected.

May 2020 (Crowd Levels WDW:4.8 MK:5 EP:5.5 HS:4.3 AK:5.4)

The time between Easter (April 12) and Memorial Day (May 25) is a great time to visit Walt Disney World. The crowds are low, and the weather is moderate.

May does not have any large changes in crowd levels

June 2020 (Crowd Levels WDW:5.9 MK:5.9 EP:6 HS:6.3 AK:6.9)

June 10, the Epcot crowd level increased from 1 to 7.  On June 19, the crowd level increased from 2 to 5. These were just errors that have been corrected. The models have Epcot and Hollywood Studios as 10’s on Tuesday, June 23. Expect these crowd levels to decrease in a future update. Tuesday, June 30, at Epcot also has a high predicted crowd level that looks suspicious.

Fall and Winter crowd levels will be tentative until we get crucial data. The holiday parties and other after-hour events have a big effect on parks’ crowd levels. We are also starting to collect school schedules for 2020-2021.


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Steve Bloom

By helping continue to reach the most accurate crowd level predictions, Steve finally found a way to meld his training in statistical analysis with a lifelong passion for Disney. He first visited the Magic Kingdom in 1972, just a few months after it opened. Now he enjoys frequent trips with his two kids. At age four his son insisted on wearing cowboy boots to reach the height requirement for Test Track, and his daughter believes that a smoked turkey leg and Dole Whip make a perfectly balanced meal. Even though she doesn't quite get it, Steve's wife is supportive of his Disney activities.

10 thoughts on “February 2020 Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar Update

  • Any updates on March with the check back later comment? Just curious how MMRR will impact the other parks the first week.

    • Sorry about that. The March and April descriptions are combined. We don’t expect much of an impact of MMRR opening on the other parks.

  • Steve, I wait eagerly for these monthly reports. They’re incredibly helpful. Thanks so much for doing them. Rich

  • With Disney Early Morning Magic in February, would it still be advisable to try to ride the mine train at rope drop or do you think the lines will be super long as Fantasyland will already be saturated? I am so excited to try it that I want to head there first.

    • Most people doing Early Morning Magic will have had there fill of Fantasyland attractions when the park opens. Doing Mine Train at rope drop will be fine.

  • Thanks for the updates! I’m tracking my trip in the fall, and noticed a few changes. I see the comment that these crowd levels are still tentative, but any explanation for the shifts?

    • We update the models each month, and they might pick up on other indicators.

  • I noticed the overall crowd calendar isn’t showing the correct average now that the individual parks are updated. It’s showing an overall 6 when it should be exactly 7. I assume it’s the four parks crowd levels averaged out.

    For this date at least:

    and this shows a 6 when it should also be closer to 7:

    • The WDW crowd level is not a simple average of the 4 parks. For example, the Magic Kingdom has more guests so it has more weight.

  • Thanks for the explanations. Had that feeling that these crowds were going to get bumped up. Oh well, HS morning is going to be a little more hectic than originally hoping for.


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