Disney World Crowd Report – August 3 to August 10, 2014

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Crowds continue to be consistent, above average and predictable this summer. Our predictions have performed very well with none missing by more than two index levels all week and most within one. Pirates of the Caribbean did see some suspiciously higher than expected wait times on some days which may indicate that the reduced capacity is having an impact although it is still too soon to tell.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, August 3, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
5

Crowds were ‘5’s and ‘6’s across the resort on Sunday with wait times remaining within 10 minutes of average. Toy Story Mania averaged 79 minutes, exactly 10 minutes higher than our prediction.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Monday, August 4, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Great results again on Monday with only the Studios missing by more than one index level, due to higher than expected wait times at Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster (71 minutes, predicted 56) and Toy Story Mania (85 minutes, predicted 69). Still, Tower of Terror came in lower than expected at 55 minutes (predicted 67).

Epcot
7
7
Hollywood Studios
7
9
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Tuesday, August 5, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

Again on Tuesday all our predictions stayed within one index level of what we observed. Epcot hit a level ’10’ on our scale for the first time since July 4th including a 103-minute average posted time at Test Track.

Epcot
9
10
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Crowds were up on Wednesday. Jungle Cruise, Pirates of the Caribbean, Space Mountain, Spaceship Earth, Toy Story Mania, Great Movie Ride, Dinosaur, Kali River Rapids and Kilimanjaro Safaris all hit a level ’10’ on our scale.

Epcot
6
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
9

Thursday, August 7, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
8

Level ‘8’ all around except for Animal Kingdom. Predictions all did well. At Magic Kingdom we were within 2 minutes for Peter Pan’s Flight, Space Mountain, Splash Mountain, Haunted Mansion and Winnie the Pooh.

Epcot
8
8
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
7

Friday, August 8, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Friday saw more ‘8’s and ‘9’s with Animal Kingdom coming in lower again. Attraction level predictions continued to be good including predictions for Rock ’n’ Roller Coster, Star Tours, Kali River Rapids and Expedition Everest that missed by no more than 3 minutes.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
5
6

Saturday, August 9, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
7

Only Magic Kingdom surprised us Saturday. Biggest contributors were Buzz Lightyear (43 minutes, predicted 33), Pirates of the Caribbean (44 minutes, predicted 28) and Haunted Mansion (32 minutes, predicted 27).

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4
What to Expect This Week
August 10 to 16, 2014
How Crowded is Disney World?
How Crowded is Disney World?

Expect busy summer crowds for another 10 days or so, then a slow decline as we approach September. Park hours remain extended for the summer season so touring can be pleasant despite the larger crowds. Just make sure to take a midday break during the hottest and busiest time of the day.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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