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Not-So-Scary Season Brings Not-So-Scary Crowds

by Fred Hazelton

October is the first of the festive seasons that flood Disney World in the fall of each year. The low crowds of September give way to the moderate crowds of October. Guests of the Magic Kingdom must be aware of the Not-So-Scary Halloween Party schedule, it has a big impact on crowds.

How we did yesterday - Wednesday, October 1, 2014
At Magic Kingdom we predicted a crowd level of 3. The actual crowd level was a 1
   At Epcot we predicted a crowd level of 4. The actual crowd level was a 2
   At Disney's Hollywood Studios we predicted a crowd level of 3. The actual crowd level was a 2
   At Disney's Animal Kingdom we predicted a crowd level of 2. The actual crowd level was a 1
Our wait times predictions were within 3 minutes for the following attractions: Buzz Lightyear's Space Ranger Spin (-3 min), DINOSAUR (-3 min), Kali River Rapids (-3 min), Expedition Everest - Legend of the Forbidden Mountain (-3 min), Spaceship Earth (-3 min), Mission: SPACE Orange (-3 min), Star Tours: The Adventures Continue (-2 min), The Haunted Mansion (-2 min), Mission: SPACE Green (-2 min), Jungle Cruise (-2 min), Toy Story Midway Mania! (-2 min), Living with the Land (+2 min), The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh (+2 min), The Great Movie Ride (+3 min), Peter Pan's Flight (+3 min)
We were within 7 minutes: Space Mountain (-6 min), Primeval Whirl (-6 min)
We were within 10 minutes: Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (-9 min), Soarin' (-8 min), Test Track Presented by Chevrolet (+8 min)
* The attractions above come from our core group of 25 attractions used in calculating crowd levels. Wait times predictions are the average posted time between 10am and 5pm
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The Crowd Calendar (1 means lowest crowds, 10 means highest)
Date Resort
Crowd Level
(Out of 10)
Magic
Kingdom
Epcot Disney's
Hollywood
Studios
Disney's
Animal
Kingdom
What to look out for
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Events, Parties, Holidays and Thanksgiving

by Fred Hazelton

Pay special attention to the “Overall Resort and Special Events” in November. You’ll see Halloween and Christmas Parties, Festivals, Running Races and Holidays. Thanksgiving will bring the largest crowds since July 4th. Avoid Epcot on Weekends unless you’re there for the Food & Wine Festival.

Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Veteran's Day
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party
Thanksgiving
Mickey's Very Merry Christmas Party

Moderate Crowds Early, Extreme Crowds Late, Festive All Month

by Fred Hazelton

Watch out for large groups of cheerleaders in the first weeks of December. Magic Kingdom crowds are dominated by the schedule of Christmas Parties. If a party is scheduled crowds will be very light during the day. If not, expect above average wait times. Christmas crowds start on the 24th and peak on the 27th through the 31st. Consider touring plans mandatory in late December.

The Crowd Calendar Is Based On Wait Times

Our Unofficial Guide researchers have collected wait times in Walt Disney World for over a decade. Thanks to our mobile app, we get hundreds of wait times daily from our fabulous users. With this dataset our statisticians update the calendar every week.

What The Numbers Mean

The crowd level is based on a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being the least crowded and 10 being most crowded. The scale represents the average wait time between 10am and 5pm at the key attractions. Read more on Crowd Levels.

Choosing The Park To Visit Each Day

Before choosing which park to visit each day you should examine some details about your trip. Our Park Recommendations page will take you step-by-step through your planning to make sure you make the right choice. Read More about Park Recommendations.

More Help To Plan Around The Crowds

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Disney World crowds: 5/10 (Average Crowds)

Disney World crowds: 4/10 (Average Crowds)

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How the Calendar Works

Crowd_cal_explanation