Here I am once again to review the information from last year and give you an even better projection for the least-crowded Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party 2019. Make sure you check out our dedicated page for a complete list of dates as well as a thorough description of what the Christmas party is.
In short, if you’re looking for the best Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party 2019, we recommend Tuesday, November 19, 2019. It’s a Tuesday, early in the season, far enough from Christmas to avoid the crowds that come with it and even before Thanksgiving and those crowds.
I’m sure you’re wondering how we did with our recommendations last year, the answer is…not too bad. Here are the top 5 from last year’s recommendations:
|Party Date||Projected Rank||Actual Rank|
|Tuesday, November 13, 2018||1||4|
|Tuesday, December 11, 2018||2||10|
|Thursday, December 6, 2018||3||5|
|Thursday, November 15, 2018||4||7|
|Thursday, December 13, 2018||5||3|
As you can see, our predictions were mostly in an acceptable range. There was a little more variance than I like, but at least all 5 were at least in the top 10.
This Year’s Methodology
We fiddled with the formula last year so that we now consider more than just attraction wait times. We now also consider if previous parties sold out and we look at the crowd ratings for the daytime hours. That continues this year, although the 2019 predictions were a little tricky for two major reasons:
Thanksgiving: In 2018 Thanksgiving was the earliest it can be (November 22) and in 2019 it is as late as it can be (November 28). That means that there are more parties before Thanksgiving and fewer after, which skews the better parties into November a little more.
Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance: Speaking of skewing parties, Rise of the Resistance opens in Hollywood Studios on December 5. We just plain aren’t sure what that will do to crowds although we’re assuming at least some sort of bump up. The problem is that early December is usually a lull between Thanksgiving and Christmas crowds which may just not happen this year. Because of that I penalized the parties that are just after the December 5 opening, even though the party on December 5 was statistically the best one. You’ll see that it still doesn’t fall very far.
Enough setup, let’s look at the chart:
|Party Date||Attraction Wait Times Rank||Advance Purchase Price for an Adult Ticket||Notes|
|Tuesday, November 19, 2019||1||$99|
|Sunday, November 17, 2019||2||$99|
|Tuesday, November 12, 2019||3||$99|
|Thursday, November 21, 2019||4||$99|
|Thursday, November 14, 2019||5||$99|
|Thursday, December 05, 2019||6||$109|
|Monday, November 11, 2019||7||$99|
|Friday, November 15, 2019||8||$109|
|Tuesday, December 10, 2019||9||$109|
|Sunday, December 08, 2019||10||$109|
|Friday, December 06, 2019||11||$115||Sold out 4 days in advance in 2017.|
|Friday, December 13, 2019||12||$115||Sold out 1 day in advance in 2016.|
|Thursday, December 12, 2019||13||$109|
|Tuesday, December 03, 2019||14||$109||Sold out 1 day in advance in 2017.|
|Friday, November 08, 2019||15||$109||First party. Sold out 14 days in advance in 2017 and 1 day in advance in 2018.|
|Friday, November 22, 2019||16||$109||Sold out 2 days in advance in 2016.|
|Thursday, December 19, 2019||17||$129|
|Tuesday, December 17, 2019||18||$115|
|Friday, December 20, 2019||19||$139||Second-to-last party; sold out 17 days in advance in 2016 and 2 days in 2017.|
|Sunday, December 15, 2019||20||$109||Sold out 14 days in advance in 2017 and 6 days in advance in 2018.|
|Sunday, November 24, 2019||21||$115|
|Sunday, December 01, 2019||22||$115||1st Party after Thanksgiving break. Sold out 1 day in advance in 2017 and 2018.|
|Sunday, December 22, 2019||23||$139||Final Party of the year. Sold out 19 days in advance in 2016, 22 days in 2017, and 2 days in 2018. Lines for character greetings and parade viewing spots will be long.|
In addition to the things mentioned above there are the normal factors like there being no parties during Thanksgiving week. That means that the last party before the break (November 24) and the first party after (December 1) get busier. We also demoted the first party of the year because it’s been a little more crowded as of late–the lower ticket prices, locals checking out new things, and previous “go early” advice probably all contribute.
Our wait times only include attractions−not character meet and greets, special shows, or parades. The characters, in particular, often have long lines, especially for rare characters like the Seven Dwarfs. Regardless of which party you attend, some of the character lines will be long. If those are a must do, do them as early in the evening as possible.
Mid-November like the hot spot. Those parties are after the initial interest of the early parties, but before the real Christmas spirit kicks in. Those are the ones we recommend.
Looking for more information? Good, because we have a lot for you. Savannah Sanders wrote a post full of savvy tips that will help you whether this is your first trip or your 100th (and if it’s your 100th, you might have a problem…being too awesome).
If meeting characters is your main priority, the boss man himself, Len Testa, wrote a fantastic (yes, I’m kissing up) piece about strategy for character meets during Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas party. If you haven’t decided if the cost is worth it you should read Kristina Murphy’s post about that very subject.
For a look at what the 2017 Christmas party looked like, watch this video with…well, me:
Now that you are armed with the most powerful weapon…knowledge, you can plan your trip to Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party 2019. This site will help you find all of the party info.
Hopefully this analysis will help you choose the best Christmas Party to attend. Merry Christmas (a little early)!