Magic Kingdom is seeing some larger than expected crowds on non-party days in October. The crowds are even more significant when a day is before or after consecutive party days. For example, we saw a ’10’ at Magic Kingdom on Wednesday, October 16, which followed the Halloween party on Monday and Tuesday. Our forecasting already takes this into account but for some reason the it seems to be more pronounced this year. We saw similar spikes to a ’10’ in Fall 2016 and 2017 but not as much in 2018. Based on what we have observed recently it appears that 2017 was the exception.
So, we are making some last-minute adjustments to the crowd level predictions for Magic Kingdom on October 23, 26, and 30. We think these days will see an increase of 2-4 points compared to what we previously predicted. Chances are, if you were using the crowd calendar to plan a visit to Magic Kingdom you were already avoiding these three days. However, if you were planning a visit to Magic Kingdom on these days a touring plan will be essential.
The good news is that crowds have been even lighter than normal on party days. That ’10’ we saw on Wednesday, October 16 was sandwiched between a ‘1’ on Tuesday and a ‘2’ on Thursday. So the ‘1’s, ‘2’s and ‘3’s coming up on the October calendar are very likely to be accurate. Go to the Magic Kingdom on those days and enjoy the light crowds. Note that the calendar predicts a crowd level ‘1’ for Magic Kingdom on Tuesday, October 22 – a day without a party but one with a 6:00 p.m. closing for a corporate event.