Disney Data Dump June 25 2025

We’re creeping toward July, and with it the promise of holiday travel, late summer debuts, and maybe – just maybe – a shift in crowd patterns. But for now, the parks continue to be surprisingly manageable, even knowing that summer has been the off-season for a few years. That’s not to say there weren’t a few changes this week, or some new trends worth watching. Let’s dig into what happened across the parks from June 17th through 23rd.

Observed Crowd Levels June 17 – 23

Compared to last week, this week is positively crowded! Look at that one yellow bar! Still, these aren’t the June wait times or crowd levels that we’re used to seeing. It’s also worth pointing out that we’ve got a pretty clear trend this summer of weekends being less crowded than weekdays, which continues this week.

Our trends at the park level are pretty similar to last week, even though they aren’t as empty as last week. Animal Kingdom and EPCOT keep outpacing Hollywood Studios and Magic Kingdom. Magic Kingdom didn’t hit crowd level 1 any day this week, but it was a lot rainier, which causes a lot of outdoor downtime, driving wait times up at attractions that remain open.

Performance of Crowd Level Predictions

Each week, I give you a very transparent look into how the TouringPlans crowd level predictions performed. Each day at each park is one data point, so each week we have 28 different crowd level predictions to evaluate. Any time a prediction is within one or two crowd levels, things won’t really “feel” much different than what was predicted. Being off by 3 or more crowd levels is where you might feel that difference in wait times throughout the day.

In the past week, Touring Plans predictions were either spot-on or within 1 crowd level 25% of the time. That’s significantly better than last week! But still pretty near our historic lows. Just 54% of the time Touring Plans predictions were within 2 crowd levels, so that means we get an F for our predictions in the past week again. All misses were over-predictions (and even all of the “Within 1 CL” days were over-predictions by one crowd level), meaning that crowds came in lower than expected throughout the past week. On average, the crowd level at any park any day of the week was about 2.5 crowd levels below prediction. That means crowds were once again significantly, noticeably, below what was predicted. The biggest miss of the week was an overprediction by 5 crowd levels, which happened at Hollywood Studios on June 17th. On that day, the park was predicted to be a crowd level 8, but only ended up being a crowd level 3.

Attraction Downtime June 17 – 23

If we average all of the capacity lost due to unexpected downtime over the past week, it comes out to 4.1% of attractions unexpectedly being down. That’s slightly higher than the past couple of weeks. Some of it is weather-related, and some isn’t. In the past week, Animal Kingdom was the park with the most overall downtime, averaging 7.3% of its capacity lost to downtime throughout the week. It’s pretty amazing that Animal Kingdom doesn’t have the highest downtime every week – because it has so few attractions, if any one of them has a significant problem, it impacts the whole park.

The worst day for attraction downtime in the past week was on June 20th. On that day, 7% of all capacity at WDW was lost due to unexpected downtime. The worst park-day of the week was on June 20th at Animal Kingdom – a predictable combo of our worst day and worst park. On that day, 13% of attraction capacity was lost due to unexpected downtime. Animal Kingdom was open for 11 hours on the 20th, so 13% downtime is the equivalent of the entire park shutting down for over 85 minutes.

Attraction Downtime Worst Offender

In the past week, Kali River Rapids was the WDW attraction with the worst overall downtime. Kali was unexpectedly down for 18% of the past week. Some of that was weather-related, but not most of it. That’s rough at a park with few attractions, and during a hot week when people are looking to cool off. The worst day at Kali River Rapids was on June 22nd, when the attraction was down for 45% of the day. It was also down for 41% of the day on the 19th.

Rope Drop Downtime

Here are problematic offenders from the past week, with the percentage of downtime during the first hour of the day in parentheses:

• Magic Kingdom: Haunted Mansion (15%)
• EPCOT: Remy’s Ratatouille Adventure (12%)
• Hollywood Studios: Rock’n’Roller Coaster (20%)
• Animal Kingdom: Kali River Rapids (13%), Dinosaur (13%)

This is actually one of the least-bad rope drop weeks ever. Hooray! It’s very odd to see Animal Kingdom with the most troubled attractions – usually it gets our gold star for no rope drop issues, but every park had something go wrong this week.

Wait Times June 17 – 23

Attractions with the Highest Average Posted Wait at Each Park

• Animal Kingdom: Flight of Passage, average posted wait time of 73 minutes (was 55 minutes last week)
• Magic Kingdom: TRON, average posted wait time of 72 minutes (was 58 minutes last week)
• EPCOT: Cosmic Rewind, average posted wait of 72 minutes (was 64 minutes last week)
• Hollywood Studios: Slinky Dog Dash, average posted wait of 69 minutes (was 67 minutes two weeks ago)

Those headliner wait times bounced right back up this week! It’s been so long since Flight of Passage was at the top of the wait time charts, but with downtime elsewhere in Animal Kingdom, it’s clear that a bunch of people got into lines that were still open. Tron and Cosmic Rewind each bounced back to their average posted wait times from 2 weeks ago. But Slinky didn’t have as much of an increase (it was the highest average posted wait overall last week).

Parks with the Highest and Lowest Average Wait

These parks likely won’t change week-to-week unless something ridiculous happens, but these data points will give us a high-level view of how wait times are trending from week to week.

• Highest: Animal Kingdom, average park-wide posted wait of 40 minutes (was 32.5 minutes last week)
• Lowest: Magic Kingdom, average park-wide posted wait of 23 minutes (was 19 minutes last week)

Here again we see the impact of downtime at Animal Kingdom. It’s no coincidence that Animal Kingdom has the lowest downtime of any park so far this year. Disney knows they need to keep its few attractions up, or bad things happen. And bad things happened this week. Wait times at the attractions that stay open go way up.

Most Inflated Posted Wait Times

We all know that Disney inflates their posted wait times on purpose. They have many reasons for doing this. Some are totally understandable, and some are potentially more problematic. We can figure out how much posted wait times are being inflated by comparing submitted actual wait times from the Lines App and the posted wait time when the person timing their wait entered the line.

Over the past week, actual wait times in the Lines App averaged 70% of what was posted. Overall, if the posted wait time at a popular attraction was 60 minutes, you could’ve expected to wait 42 minutes instead.

But the worst offender for the past week was Gran Fiesta Tour. At this one attraction, submitted actual wait times were only 38% of posted wait times in the past week. That means that if the attraction had a 15 minute posted wait, you probably would have actually only waited less than 6 minutes instead. Almost a third of what was posted. Remember to always check the Lines app for predicted actual waits instead of making decisions based on what is posted.

This Week’s Wait Time Rock Star

Between June 17th and 23rd, we had over 1,100 timed actual waits submitted through the Lines app. The one person who recorded the most actual waits during that time was jamielynnmcdonough, with 44 overall timed waits – 40 standby waits and 4 Lightning Lane waits. Thanks for all of that timing, jamielynnmcdonough! It unfortunately does not compete with the the 97 timed waits in a single week from our current timing champion, preef.

Looking Ahead: June 24 – 30

I write this article on Tuesday evenings so that you all have the very freshest of data on Wednesdays. That means the 24th will already be in the past by the time you’ve read this, you’ve done some time travel!

We’re getting closer to the 4th of July holiday weekend, but other than that, nothing remarkable is happening at Walt Disney World over the next week. Expect crowds to stay below average. Simple.

‘Tis the season for afternoon thunderstorms. They should be an almost daily occurrence, at least for the rest of this week. Get your outdoor attractions done in the morning, and have a plan for how you’re going to handle the rain.

My family is headed down to Walt Disney World starting this weekend, and staying for a couple of weeks, so if you see me in the parks, make sure to say hello!

Were you in the parks this past week? Or are you headed to Orlando soon? Let me know in the comments below!