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Disneyland Crowd Calendar Update for March 2024

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Since January 1, 2024 crowd levels at Disneyland Park have been seven-tenths (0.7) of a point lower than predicted, on average. So, its time for a Disneyland Crowd Calendar update. Crowds at Disney California Adventure have been lower than expected too but by a much smaller margin, 0.06 points to be precise. Some of that is explained by the three multi-day rain storms that swept away crowds from the parks between January 20-22, February 4-7 and 20-21. But even if you take away those dates from the calculations, crowds are down by more than a quarter point.

Disneyland Resort Crowd Level Update: A Closer Look at Current Trends (including 2023)

As we move further into 2024, it’s evident that our predictions for crowd levels at Disneyland Resort need to tend downward. An analysis of the data since January 1, 2023, reveals a noteworthy trend in visitor patterns at both Disneyland Park and Disney California Adventure.

Disneyland Park: Traditionally the centerpiece of the Disneyland Resort, Disneyland Park has seen a significant deviation from our predicted crowd levels, with actual numbers averaging 0.92 points lower than our forecasts. This adjustment indicates a quieter experience for visitors, contrary to what was anticipated.

Disney California Adventure: While also experiencing lower-than-expected crowds, Disney California Adventure’s variance is less pronounced, with crowd levels averaging 0.34 points lower than predictions. Though the difference is more modest than its counterpart, it still reflects a trend towards a less congested park experience.

These discrepancies between predicted and actual crowd levels may be attributed to a variety of factors, including seasonal weather patterns, global travel trends, and local events.

Despite the weather impacts, the underlying trend suggests a broader shift in visitor attendance that merits attention. As always, our goal is to provide the most accurate and useful information to our readers and guests planning their visits to Disneyland Resort. We will continue to monitor these trends closely, adjusting our predictions to better reflect the current reality and ensure you have the best possible experience at the parks.

For those planning a visit to Disneyland Resort, this could be an opportune time to enjoy the magic with a bit more space and shorter wait times for your favorite attractions. We’ll keep you updated with the latest data and insights to help you make the most of your Disneyland adventure.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

4 thoughts on “Disneyland Crowd Calendar Update for March 2024

  • Hi. I got an email saying that crowd predictions are cut from 7 to 4. That sounds like about 40% less people. Can you explain what constitutes a point?

  • Can you explain what constitutes a point? I got an email saying that crowd predictions are cut from 7 to 4. That sounds like about 40% less people.

  • I’m curious to see how this plays out. I’ve noticed the parks seem less crowded and yet standby wait times seem to be long. LL seems to be effecting SB imho.

    • We were there last week. Even if overall crowds are a fraction lower, the fact that multiple major rides were all closed (Splash Mtn, Haunted Mansion, Grizzly Rapids, and RS Racers were all closed, + Matterhorn was broken/closed the entire 4 days we were there), and the many, many times the rest of the rides broke down throughout the day (it was unreal how many times the rides would be temporarily closed for 30-60 mins throughout the day), the wait times were way worse than any other time we’ve ever been, including in the summer. When the rides would break, they’d give all the LL riders a “multi experience” pass that they’d use on another ride that wasn’t broken down, causing the general line wait times to get longer and longer. We got in the Space Mtn general line when it said it was a 25 minute wait time. We moved at a decent pace for about 10 mins, and then pretty much completely stopped moving. The 25 mins turned into more than 150 minutes because they were only letting LL riders through for a while. We complained and the response was pretty much “sorry, when the LL gets busy, it becomes at a minimum 10 to 1 ratio between letting the LL and the general line riders through”. When we got to where we could see the two lines merge, we saw they’d let a single party of 2-5 general line riders through, and then they’d stop and let more than 100 LL riders through the line.


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