The spring crowd levels at Disney World vary from year to year. The variation is driven by when Easter is and how schools plan their spring breaks. Different school districts use different rules when scheduling their spring breaks. Some school districts have a fixed week each year, and others adjust spring break based on Easter and Passover. Some school districts have the Friday before and/or the Monday after Easter off. When Easter is early, the spring break season is early and short. This causes the crowd levels to be higher, but for only a short time period. When Easter is late, the spring break season is spread out and has less effect on crowd levels. In 2015, Easter is early (April 5), so the spring break season will be early and end by April 12.
Crowd levels are inversely related to the percentage of children in school: when most schools are on a break, high wait times are found in the parks. We track the school schedules for the 100 largest school districts, and these schedules goes into our Crowd Calendar models. The chart above shows the percentage of students in session and how the numbers change year to year.
Disney has set the blocked out dates for Florida Resident Seasonal Passes between March 28 and April 10 (inclusive), which means this is when they expect to see the most guests this year.
Another thing that is going to lower the crowd levels is the snow fall from winter. Many school systems lost school days and are having to make up the snow days. Some are choosing to shorten or cancel their spring breaks or Easter breaks. Many are still experiencing winter weather and have not finalized how they will make up the time. The chart above does not include the effect of schools’ make-up days.
Are you planning to visit during your spring break? Remember, the time you spend in line is impacted far more by when you arrive at the parks and your touring plan, than by the number of people in the parks. We recommend everyone use a touring plan this time of year.