Crowd Blog

Walt Disney World Crowd Report March 23 to 29, 2014

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Crowds were larger last week than we expected although we did predict high crowds most days. The Animal Kingdom hit a crowd level ’10’ while other parks hit a level ‘9’ on some days. Some bad weather likely affected wait times later in the week.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up day-to-day last week.

The Crowd Report
The Crowd Report
The Walt Disney World Crowd Report
March 23, 2014 to March 29, 2014

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Sunday was the first of five days last week where wait times exceeded what we expected. Hollywood Studios was a level ‘6’ on our scale as predicted but the other three parks were underestimated by one level (Magic Kingdom), two levels (Animal Kingdom) and three levels (Epcot) respectively. Epcot’s level ‘8’ was particularly surprising with a 24-minute average posted wait at Spaceship Earth.

Monday, March 24, 2014

On Monday, it was The Studios that surprised us thanks to higher than expected average wait times at Toy Story Mania (108 minutes), Tower of Terror (84 minutes) and Great Movie Ride (30 minutes). We predicted ‘6’, The Studios ended up at a level ‘9’. Our predictions did well at the other parks, each missing by only one index level, including a predicted resort-wide level ‘7’ that ended up one level too low.

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Tuesday ended up as the most crowded day of the week which is a rare statement for Walt Disney World. No park had a crowd level lower than ‘8’ and the Animal Kingdom reached level ’10’ (we predicted ‘8’). Magic Kingdom was an ‘8’ as predicted and The Studios also hit a level ‘8’, one above our prediction of ‘7’. Epcot ended up a level ‘9’, two levels higher than the ‘7’ we predicted.

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Our resort-wide prediction of a level ‘8’ was one level too low on Wednesday thanks to higher than expected wait times at Epcot (was an ‘8’, predicted ‘6’) and The Studios (was a ‘9’, predicted ‘7’). Animal Kingdom remained very crowded as well with a crowd level ‘9’. Our prediction of a level ‘8’ at Magic Kingdom was very close to what we observed. Only Big Thunder Mountain (72 minutes) and Haunted Mansion (50 minutes) had wait times significantly higher than we predicted.

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Thursday’s crowds were the most surprising of the week with the resort-wide crowd level two levels higher than the ‘7’ we predicted. That happens only 15% of the time since we launched our new crowd calendar. Thursdays predictions at Magic Kingdom (8) and Animal Kingdom (9) were accurate within our normal range but both Epcot and The Studios surprised us with crowd levels three levels higher than the ‘6’s we predicted. At Epcot it was Soarin’ (107 minutes, predicted 77) and Mission: Space (36 minutes, predicted 19) while at The Studios it was Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster (102 minutes, predicted 57) and Toy Story Mania (103 minutes, predicted 83) that caused the increases.

Friday, March 28, 2014

Predictions did well on Friday. Although Epcot had a higher crowd level than expected, our resort-wide prediction of a level ‘7’ was accurate. We predicted The Studios at a ‘5’ and Animal Kingdom ‘7’ but observed the reverse. Some bad weather likely influenced the wait times at many attractions on Thursday and Friday.

Saturday, March 29, 2014

Resort-wide crowd levels dipped below our predictions for the first time of the week on Saturday, thanks to a crowd level ‘5’ at the Magic Kingdom. All other parks were within one of our predictions. In fact, The Studios which hosted Extra Magic Hour morning had a crowd level ‘6’ as predicted.

What to Expect This Week
March 30 to April 6, 2014

Crowd Calendar Example

We expect that last week’s crowds may end up being the peak of Spring Break. We expect very crowded parks between now and Easter but likely not to the extent that we saw last week. This is why we feel touring plans are most important this time of year because crowds tend to surprise us more often than most other times of the year. Mix that in with unpredictable weather and planning becomes difficult. A touring plan will protect you against any crowd and if you use Lines to optimize your plan while in the park, you can rest assured you are doing the most to beat the crowds!

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

2 thoughts on “Walt Disney World Crowd Report March 23 to 29, 2014

  • I was there between Sunday and Wednesday. Crowds seemed pretty big and I thought they might come in a bit higher than predicted. I didn’t use a touring plan, but did avoid the most crowded park each day. Best day was Sunday when I got in 18 attractions at Magic Kingdom, plus lunch and dinner in a 13 hour span (noon through 1am). Used all three of my Fast Pass Plus reservations each day as well. Tuesday was our next best day. Went to Hollywood Studios around 11AM and left after the last Fantasmic of the night. Did virtually everything at the Studios except for Rockin’ Rollercoaster and Lights Motor Action. Despite the huge Spring Break crowds, the second Fanstasmic show was nearly 1/2 empty. Overall, a great experience given the crowds. Got to see lots and really liked how Fastpass Plus worked for us.

  • Janet Sala

    Saturday (3/29) crowds might have been light because of the rain. It was torrential for most of the afternoon. We spent the day doing the monorail resort, starting at The Wave’s bar for lunch and libations. By 1pm, the rain was coming down hard. The bad weather cleared out around 6pm.

    Epcot was unusually crowded on Friday and again on Sunday. In World Showcase, it looked more like a weekend during Food & Wine than a weekend in the Spring. From the top of the slope heading down from the American pavilion to Japan, it seemed there was a sea of people much more reminiscent of a “9” day than the predicted “7”.


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