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Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar 2015

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New Year’s Eve is fast approaching, which means 2015 will soon be upon us. Let’s take a quick look at the 2015 Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar.

Disney World is a crowded place that attracts 50 million visitors per year, and 2015 will be no different. Below is the crowd calendar donut (until we find a better name) that shows the hot spots and low zones for Disney World crowds since 2010. There are three things we notice from the graphic right away: the extreme crowds of Christmas and Thanksgiving; the extreme crowds at Easter that fluctuate yearly depending on when Easter falls; and the low crowds of early September. But there are a lot of other little tidbits of information, as well; let’s take a closer look.

How Crowded will Walt Disney World be in 2015?
Walt Disney World Crowds Since 2010

Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar 2015 – by month


The New Year’s rush should fade by Monday, January 5, quickly followed by crowded resorts during Marathon Weekend. We expect January to be a good month for visiting the parks in 2015 if you don’t mind the risk of cooler temperatures. Martin Luther King Jr. day is January’s only bump in crowds after New Year’s Day. Notice how January’s crowds have been slowly building over the years. We expect that trend to continue in 2015.


Mardi Gras and Presidents Day fall back to back in 2015, so watch out for major crowds that week. Avoid Magic Kingdom on Super Bowl Monday (after the big game) unless you want to see the parade. Any other time in February is manageable but busy.


Easter falls in early April in 2015, so March crowds will be influenced primarily by school breaks. There is enough variation in school schedules next year to make every week fairly busy throughout March. Early March is less crowded than late March.


Avoid the Easter crowds the first week of April, and you should find busy but manageable crowds the rest of the month. As we can see, the later in April you visit, the lighter the crowds become.


May crowds were light in 2014, but we expect slightly more moderate crowds in 2015. Memorial Day weekend is busy but not nearly as busy as most holidays – a good choice for a family trip if you want to minimize days off school. Star Wars Weekends highlight the event schedule in May and June, so watch out for bottlenecks at Disney Hollywood Studios on weekends.


As we see from the graphic, summer crowds are steady year in and year out, no matter the year. June 2015 will be hot, humid, and busy every day.


July 2015 will be like all other Julys: really hot, really humid, and very busy, especially around July 4th. Later in the month is less busy, but plan for large crowds every day. Extended hours in the summer allow for more options with your planning, so take advantage.


Think of August as two halves – early August with busy summer crowds and late August with smaller, fall-like crowds. If you plan to visit in August, the later the better.


Our favorite month for low crowds, if you can stand the heat. Crowds during the first two weeks of September 2014 were some of the lowest we’ve ever seen. Will 2015 be the same? Let’s hope so. What is clear is that September has the best, lightest crowds every year, by far.


Festive in a Not-So-Scary way, October is one of our favorite choices, too, but like January it has grown in popularity since 2010. October 2015 will bring steady crowds like we saw in 2014, but if you can avoid weekends, you will enjoy less crowded parks.


Thanksgiving crowds are among the busiest of the year, but we expect them to last only from the Tuesday before the big day until the Monday after in 2015. Other than that, November is a good time to visit, for crowds and weather.


Like August, December 2015 can be split into two groups. The moderate crowds of early December and the full-blown, five-alarm Christmas craziness of December 24 to January 2. Both halves of December are cool, festive, and worth doing, but not without a solid plan.

Happy Touring in 2015!

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

7 thoughts on “Walt Disney World Crowd Calendar 2015

  • Fred – Great graphic! Thanks for putting this together!

  • We go the to the world late august (around the 20th)and the crowd are usually very manageable crowds but this year they we unusually crowded. Do you think it was just due to the frozen stuff and fantasyland opening and maybe the potter stuff or do you believe this may be the trend, big crowds all august (as compared to years past)?
    Thank you for all you great information and even with the heavy crowds your TPs made our trip magical!

  • Fantastic info. Crowd levels are the primary factor in how much I enjoy our WDW vacations. I’ve relied on Touring Plans data to plan for years and you’re always right on the money. So much so I’d like to request that you branch out. I need Touring Plans crowd data for the mall, grocery store, lake, freeway traffic…

  • Something else interesting, it looks like the odd years consistently have higher crowds over the summer months. Either that or my eyes are playing tricks on me. Does it look the same if you average the crowd levels over the month instead of daily?

  • As always, accurate data presented in useful fashion. Thank you, Fred!

  • This backs up what I thought – January was much lighter not that long ago. Any theories on what drove the sudden increase in January crowds in 2013? Is that when the marathon started, or maybe a drive for foreign tour groups?

    Awesome data, thanks for posting.

  • Do you think August crowds might continue more through the month of August with the latest possible Labor Day this year of September 7th? Our schools usually start the Tuesday before Labor Day (September 1st this year) and other schools in Massachusetts start just after Labor Day. We are pushing our trip a little later in August this year because of the late Labor Day. Are you expecting more to travel this way also with such a late Labor Day? We usually travel when Florida is out of school for a few days and continue while they go back to school for a few more days and you can definitely tell the change in crowd levels.


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