This Crowd Calendar update just affects November and December 2021. The prior predictions were based on data prior to 2019. We expect crowds will be similar, or a bit higher, than pre-pandemic levels. There is still a lot that is unknown about park operations in late 2021. Since Disney has not published park hours we have to look to the past and make some educated guesses. The only thing that has changed since our original estimate is that Mickey’s Very Merry Christmas Party is not happening and is being replaced with Disney Very Merriest After Hours event. Since Disney has not yet announced the specific dates of the after-hours event, we are assuming they will follow the same pattern as party dates in 2019. For Crowd Levels, the change from a party to an after-hours event is that the park hours will be longer. Instead of the Magic Kingdom closing at 6 p.m., the park will close at 9 p.m.. Even though this change impacts the Magic Kingdom, it will also change our predictions at all parks, and predictions on non-party days. Once Disney releases official park hours and dates of the after-hour events, we will revise Crowd Levels again.
Do you have any questions or thoughts about this new update? Let us know in the comments.