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Moderate to Heavy Crowds Throughout March

by Fred Hazelton March 2, 2015

Spring Weather and Spring Break-ers have arrived, bringing moderate to heavy crowds at the parks. Savvy touring planners will arrive early, use a touring plan and take advantage of FASTPASS.


Disneyland Crowds

Disneyland crowds are hard to predict even for seasoned veterans. Our Disneyland Crowd Calendar is extensively researched by professional statisticians to help you answer "When to go to Disneyland?" This calendar ranks crowds in Disneyland for the next 365 days to help you have the best trip possible. You should use it to:

  1. Compare two sets of travel dates to see which has the lower crowds.
  2. See how long the lines will be for your travel dates.
  3. Decide which Disneyland Touring Plan (if any) to use.
How we did yesterday - Sunday, March 1, 2015
At Disneyland we predicted a crowd level of 7. The actual crowd level was a 5
   At Disney California Adventure we predicted a crowd level of 8. The actual crowd level was a 5
Our wait times predictions were within 3 minutes for the following attractions: Star Tours: The Adventures Continue (-3 min), Gadget's Go Coaster (-3 min), Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters (0 min), Alice in Wonderland (0 min), Pirates of the Caribbean (+1 min), California Screamin' (+1 min), Monsters, Inc. Mike & Sulley to the Rescue! (+1 min), Indiana Jones Adventure (+2 min)
We were within 5 minutes: Toy Story Midway Mania! (-5 min), Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin (-5 min), Mr. Toad's Wild Ride (-4 min), Space Mountain (-4 min), The Twilight Zone Tower of Terror (+4 min), Big Thunder Mountain Railroad (+5 min)
We were within 7 minutes: it's a small world (-6 min)
We were within 10 minutes: Mickey's Fun Wheel - Swinging (-10 min), Jungle Cruise (-10 min), Mickey's House (-9 min), Dumbo the Flying Elephant (-9 min), Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage (-9 min), Astro Orbitor (-8 min), Autopia (+9 min)
* The attractions above come from our core group of 25 attractions used in calculating crowd levels. Wait times predictions are the average posted time between 10am and 5pm
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The Crowd Calendar
Date Resort Disneyland DCA AP Blockouts Notes
The next 30 days are available to subscribers!
Wed, April 1, 2015 10 out of 10 10 10 SL SC
Thu, April 2, 2015 10 out of 10 10 10 SL SC
Fri, April 3, 2015 10 out of 10 10 10 SL SC DX Good Friday
Sat, April 4, 2015 10 out of 10 10 9 SL SC DX
Sun, April 5, 2015 7 out of 10 6 7 SL SC Easter Sunday
Mon, April 6, 2015 8 out of 10 8 8 SL SC Easter Monday
Tue, April 7, 2015 8 out of 10 8 8 SL SC
Wed, April 8, 2015 8 out of 10 7 8 SL SC
Thu, April 9, 2015 8 out of 10 7 8 SL SC
Fri, April 10, 2015 8 out of 10 7 8 SL SC
Sat, April 11, 2015 7 out of 10 7 7 SL SC DX
Sun, April 12, 2015 8 out of 10 7 8 SL
Mon, April 13, 2015 6 out of 10 6 6
Tue, April 14, 2015 4 out of 10 4 4
Wed, April 15, 2015 4 out of 10 3 4
Thu, April 16, 2015 4 out of 10 4 4
Fri, April 17, 2015 7 out of 10 6 7 SL
Sat, April 18, 2015 7 out of 10 7 7 SL SC DX
Sun, April 19, 2015 7 out of 10 6 7 SL
Mon, April 20, 2015 4 out of 10 4 4
Tue, April 21, 2015 4 out of 10 4 4
Wed, April 22, 2015 4 out of 10 3 4
Thu, April 23, 2015 5 out of 10 4 5
Fri, April 24, 2015 6 out of 10 5 6
Sat, April 25, 2015 6 out of 10 6 6 SL SC DX
Sun, April 26, 2015 8 out of 10 7 8 SL
Mon, April 27, 2015 6 out of 10 5 6
Tue, April 28, 2015 5 out of 10 4 5
Wed, April 29, 2015 4 out of 10 3 4
Thu, April 30, 2015 5 out of 10 4 5
Fri, May 1, 2015 6 out of 10 5 6
Annual Pass Blockouts: SL=SoCal Select; SC=SoCal; DX=Deluxe; *=projected event date
Crowd Levels: Relative Scale, with 1 being least crowded, 10 the most crowded

The Crowd Calendar Is Based On Wait Times

Our Unofficial Guide researchers have collected wait times in Disneyland Resort for over three years. With this dataset, Fred Hazelton, our professional statistician, updates this calendar every week.

How We Rank Crowds

There are three Crowd Levels listed above, each is based on a scale from 1 to 10, with 1 being the least crowded conditions and 10 being most crowded. The Resort Crowd Level scale represents the combined wait times at all the standby lines in both Disneyland and Disney California Adventure. The Disneyland and DCA Crowd Levels just predict the relative crowd level for attractions in those parks, respectively.

The Crowd Levels are on a relative scale--an '8' is more crowded than '7' which is more crowded than '6'. The crowd level tells you how each day compares to all other days we have on record. Read more on Crowd Levels.

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