Disney World Crowd Report – October 19 to 25, 2014

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A good week for predictions at Walt Disney World with our only misses coming at parks where we saw lesser crowds than expected. The schedule for Mickey’s Not-So-Scary Halloween Parties continues to drive crowds in and out of the Magic Kingdom depending on the day. We saw some low wait times last week, particularly at Disney Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Touringplans.com Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, October 19, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

Mickey’s Not-So-Scary Halloween Party at Magic Kingdom kept wait times low enough during the day to make that park Sunday’s best park, as predicted. We saw high waits at Disney Hollywood Studios including a 24-minute average posted time at Great Movie Ride (predicted 11).

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
6
8
Animal Kingdom
6
6

Monday, October 20, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
8

The Studios and Magic Kingdom switched places on Monday with the former hitting higher waits like 54 minutes at Peter Pan’s Flight (predicted 49) while the Great Movie Ride averaged 17 minutes (predicted 21).

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
7
5
Animal Kingdom
6
4

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
1

A big drop in average wait times across most attractions on Tuesday compared to the first two days of the week, as predicted. The two Kingdoms had particularly low wait times like 17-minute averages at Space Mountain (predicted 25) and Kilimanjaro Safaris (predicted 29).

Epcot
6
5
Hollywood Studios
5
4
Animal Kingdom
5
2

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
6

On Wednesday, low waits at The Studios and Animal Kingdom pushed the resort wide crowd level two levels lower than predicted. The biggest surprises were a 12-minute wait at Great Movie Ride (predicted 17) and a 12-minute wait at Kilimanjaro Safaris (predicted 34).

Epcot
4
5
Hollywood Studios
6
2
Animal Kingdom
4
1

Thursday, October 23, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
3
2

We correctly predicted that Epcot would be the most crowded park on Thursday however the difference between park crowd levels wasn’t as large as expected. We were also correct that Magic Kingdom would have the lowest level.

Epcot
7
5
Hollywood Studios
6
4
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Friday, October 24, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
4
4

Good predictions at all four parks on Friday. Jungle Cruise was 31 minutes (predicted 29), Test Track was 63 minutes (predicted 73), Rock ‘n’ Roller Coaster 51 (predicted 58) and Expedition Everest was 24 minutes (predicted 27).

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Saturday, October 25, 2014

WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
7

Another good day of predictions on Saturday. It was the busiest day at Magic Kingdom since Monday with average wait times like 55 minutes at Peter Pan’s Flight (predicted 47) and 42 at Space Mountain (predicted 48).

Epcot
5
5
Hollywood Studios
7
8
Animal Kingdom
7
6
What to Expect This Week
October 26 to November 1, 2014
How Crowded is Walt Disney World?
How Crowded is Walt Disney World?

In the next few weeks we can expect the Halloween festivities to peak and then fade, leading into the moderately crowded November season. Watch out for Jersey Week and Thanksgiving but otherwise enjoy the cooler temperatures and the manageable crowds.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

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