Walt Disney World (FL)

Touring Plan Test: Magic Kingdom (3-27-2021)

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On Saturday, March 27, we did another side-by-side test of the COVID-19 Magic Kingdom Unofficial Guide Adult One-Day Touring Plan. The plan includes 19 attractions, but three were not available on the day of testing (The Hall of Presidents, Swiss Family Treehouse, and Tomorrowland Transit Authority PeopleMover).

Attractions in Magic Kingdom Touring Plan Test
1  Seven Dwarfs Mine Train
2  The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh
3  Jungle Cruise
4  Pirates of the Caribbean
5  Splash Mountain
6  Big Thunder Mountain Railroad
7  Peter Pan’s Flight
8  Under the Sea ~ Journey of the Little Mermaid
9  “it’s a small world”
10  The Haunted Mansion
11  Country Bear Jamboree
12  Walt Disney’s Enchanted Tiki Room
13  Mickey’s PhilharMagic
14  Walt Disney’s Carousel of Progress
15  Space Mountain
16  Buzz Lightyear’s Space Ranger Spin

The predicted crowd level on March 27, was a 5, and the actual crowd level was a 2 at the Magic Kingdom. Park hours were 8:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m. We had three staff members in the park, with Morgan starting her test at 8:00 a.m., Chrissy starting at 9:00 a.m., and Ivonne starting at noon. Each plan was optimized for its specific start time.

Morgan’s 8:00 a.m. Initial Plan
Chrissy’s 9:00 a.m. Initial Plan
Ivonne’s noon Initial Plan

The initial plans predicted that Chrissy would wait 88 minutes more than Morgan, just because Chrissy is starting 1 hour later. Ivonne starting at noon, had her wait times somewhere between Chrissy and Morgan. Ivonne’s plan also predicted she would only have time to do 15 attractions. All three testers re-optimized their plans often so the plans would incorporate current conditions in the park.


Morgan’s Final Plan
Chrissy’s Final Plan
Ivonne’s Final Plan

Morgan and Chrissy completed all 16 attractions. Morgan waited in line 287 minutes, and Chrissy waited in line 349 minutes. Chrissy waited 59 more minutes than Morgan. Since Morgan started earlier, she finished two hours before Chrissy.

We were hoping Ivonne would make up some time, and get all 16 attractions completed. Unfortunately, that did not happen, and she only completed 15 attractions. To compare all three plans, if we only compare the 15 attractions that all three testers completed, here’s the results.
Even with Morgan starting at “park opening” she had thousands of guests ahead of her. All parks are opening 30-60 minutes before the official opening time.  Our tests where we arrived prior to official opening times will save an additional hour of wait in lines. You can review our prior Magic Kingdom test.

Have any questions about our in-park testing? Let us know in the comments.

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Steve Bloom

By helping TouringPlans.com continue to reach the most accurate crowd level predictions, Steve finally found a way to meld his training in statistical analysis with a lifelong passion for Disney. He first visited the Magic Kingdom in 1972, just a few months after it opened. Now he enjoys frequent trips with his two kids. At age four his son insisted on wearing cowboy boots to reach the height requirement for Test Track, and his daughter believes that a smoked turkey leg and Dole Whip make a perfectly balanced meal. Even though she doesn't quite get it, Steve's wife is supportive of his Disney activities.

5 thoughts on “Touring Plan Test: Magic Kingdom (3-27-2021)

  • So, predicted crowd level was 5, but actual crowd level was 2. Yet Morgan’s predicted wait time was lower than actual wait time?

    • I think we make adjustments to the predicted and actual waits throughout the day.

    • @len is correct.

      The “Initial Plans” are plans created before the day began. The “Final Plans” were the plans as they adjusted with re-optimizing their plans during testing.

  • So what is your current recommendation for arrival time at the park to optimize your time? Would 30 minutes early be enough, or does it need to be an hour?

    • I’d plan on being at the park entrance 50 minutes before official opening.


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