WDW Crowd Calendar Update for Summer 2021 – Part 2

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This Crowd Calendar update just affects July – Labor Day 2021. Changes are relatively minor. The last change in the Crowd Calendar was in May. The increase in crowd levels for June was not as large as we expected. July numbers are falling more in line with what we expected. EPCOT has the most days with increased crowd levels.

Crowd Level ≠ Attendance Level

Here at TouringPlans, we measure Crowd Levels based on attraction wait times. Since Disney does not publically release daily park attendance, we, nor anyone,  can validate attendance prediction accuracy. Basing Crowd Levels on average posted wait time is quantifiable. We try to be very transparent with our predictions and accuracy. At Touringplans.com, you can go to any day in the past and see our predicted and observed wait times at all attractions and see how they relate to the Crowd Level.

No FastPass+ Effect on Wait Times

Most attractions at Walt Disney World have returned to normal operations. Ride vehicles are being fully loaded and shows are filling the theaters. In June, the attraction capacity increased faster than park attendance. Now that attractions are at 100% capacity and Disney is still increasing park attendance we are going to see higher wait times in July and August.

Besides ride capacity and park attendance,  the lack of FastPass+ is keeping wait times down. Without the FastPass+ rides much more of the ride’s capacity goes to the standby line. Below is a table showing the average posted wait times for July 1 – 15, 2019 and 2021.

As Disney returns to normal operation and increases attendance we will see a pull and push on wait times.

Have any questions or comments about the new update? Let us know below.

 

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Steve Bloom

By helping TouringPlans.com continue to reach the most accurate crowd level predictions, Steve finally found a way to meld his training in statistical analysis with a lifelong passion for Disney. He first visited the Magic Kingdom in 1972, just a few months after it opened. Now he enjoys frequent trips with his two kids. At age four his son insisted on wearing cowboy boots to reach the height requirement for Test Track, and his daughter believes that a smoked turkey leg and Dole Whip make a perfectly balanced meal. Even though she doesn't quite get it, Steve's wife is supportive of his Disney activities.

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