Disney World Crowd Report – July 27 to August 5, 2014

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Another good week of predictions for the crowd calendar with most days falling within normal error ranges. We’re seeing higher wait times at Disney Hollywood Studios compared to the last few months and we’re seeing moderate summer crowds at Magic Kingdom. Crowds continue to be busy but manageable.

Let’s look at how the crowd levels stacked up each day last week on the Disney World Crowd Report:

Walt Disney World Resort Crowd Levels – Daily Breakdown

Sunday, July 27, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Sunday crowds were moderate across all four parks with Magic Kingdom coming in as the best park to visit (‘4’ out of 10). Our predictions for Disney’s Hollywood Studios have been very reliable over the past few weeks. For example, on Sunday we predicted Toy Story Mania would have an average wait of 63 minutes, it turned out to be only 5 minutes higher, at 68 minutes.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
5

Monday, July 28, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

On Monday, Toy Story Mania jumped much higher with an average of 80 minutes (predicted 40). Meanwhile, Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster hit 68 minutes (predicted 63).

Epcot
4
6
Hollywood Studios
4
8
Animal Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
7
6

Tuesday’s crowd at Disney Hollywood Studios settled back down to a level ‘6’, average for the summer season. Epcot saw higher than average crowds while everywhere else crowds came in as expected.

Epcot
8
9
Hollywood Studios
6
6
Animal Kingdom
6
7

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Epcot surprised us on Wednesday as The Studios did earlier in the week. Living with the Land averaged a remarkably high 17 minutes (predicted 3) as did Spaceship Earth at 27 minutes (predicted 13). Everywhere else we saw crowds at or near predicted levels.

Epcot
4
8
Hollywood Studios
7
6
Animal Kingdom
8
8

Thursday, July 31, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
8
7

Epcot came in with a higher level than expected again on Thursday thanks to higher than expected wait times at Spaceship Earth (22 minutes, predicted 11) and Living with the Land (10 minutes, predicted 6). However, Soarin’ and Mission: Space had average wait times lower than predicted.

Epcot
4
7
Hollywood Studios
5
7
Animal Kingdom
5
5

Friday, August 1, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
6
4

Low average waits at Magic Kingdom brought the resort-wide level to a ‘5’, two less than we predicted. Only Pirates of the Caribbean met expectations on Friday while other attractions came in below predicted levels. The other three parks were within normal error ranges including a correct prediction at The Studios.

Epcot
5
6
Hollywood Studios
7
7
Animal Kingdom
5
4

Saturday, August 2, 2014

  WHAT WE
THOUGHT
WHAT WE
SAW
ANALYSIS
Magic Kingdom
5
5

Solid predictions across the board on Saturday. Only The Studios missed but only by one level. Our estimates for Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster, Star Tours and Great Movie Ride were all within 4 minutes.

Epcot
4
4
Hollywood Studios
6
7
Animal Kingdom
4
4
What to Expect This Week
August 3 to 9, 2014
The Crowd Report
The Crowd Report

Summer crowds will continue for two more weeks then we will see the slow decline in crowds leading to the least busy time of year, early September. Watch out for the Villains Event at Disney Hollywood Studios on August 23, 2014. We expect to see moderate crowds during the day then large crowds in the evening although attraction wait times will be reasonable.

To see Walt Disney World Crowd predictions for the days of your vacation, check the Crowd Calendar.

To get details about our predictions of future crowds or details about crowds in the past check out the Crowd Calendar and select “Jump to Date” on the left margin.

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Fred Hazelton

Fred Hazelton maintains the crowd calendar, theme park wait time models and does hotel rate analysis for the Unofficial Guides. He's also done the models for the new mobile wait times product Lines. Fred Hazelton is a professional statistician living in Ontario, Canada. His email address is fred@touringplans.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @DisneyStatsWhiz.

One thought on “Disney World Crowd Report – July 27 to August 5, 2014

  • August 6, 2014 at 2:37 pm
    Permalink

    I wonder if the Living with the Land times on Wednesday and Thursday were due to the Soarin’ test and people riding it out of necessity. I have a feeling that played a role and it would explain the wait times difference.

    Reply

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